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Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter. Market Stance: BULLISH (since December 1, 2010) Contents
Typical Client Performance
* An average of managed accounts, net after all commissions and fees. Click here for more performance data. Click here for information on managed accounts.
* Buy prices shown are net after commissions and fees. Today, Wednesday, December 29, 2010, I bought AMRC, for both client and my personal accounts. Ameresco, Inc. provides upgrading services for energy infrastructures. They also construct and operate small-scale renewable energy plants. Here's why I bought this stock: + Breakout attempt: The stock is up sharply today on very heavy volume. It looks like it will break out of an 8-week range to a new 3-month high. Earlier today, it surpassed the $14 mark, which is the stock's all-time closing high. + Volume spike, mostly on the buy side: As I write this, less than two hours before the close, volume is already more than 5 times average. + Excellent recent sales growth. Here are the quarterly year-to-year sales growth rates from the last four quarters, in chronological order: +35%, +44%, +58%, and, most recently, for the quarter ended Sep 30, +45% to $191.9 million. + Excellent recent earnings-per-share growth. Here are the quarterly EPS figures for the last eight quarters:
Dec 09 vs Dec 08: 23c vs 11c Mar 10 vs Mar 09: 3c vs 1c Jun 10 vs Jun 09: 19c vs 4c Sep 10 vs Sep 09: 28c vs 20c + Strong and rising earnings-per-share estimates: According to recent data from First Call, the consensus earnings estimate for 2010 is 67c, revised upward from 63c 90 days ago (and up from 2009 actual earnings of 48c); and the consensus estimate for 2011 is 77c, revised upward from 73c 90 days ago. + Valuation: At 18 times next year's estimated earnings and a projected 5-year annualized earnings growth rate of 21%, the stock is still, even after today's big gain, very attractively priced. + For the most recently reported quarter, the quarter ended Sep 30, the company "beat the Street" by 5c. + The stock's 200-day moving average is rising, indicating a long-term uptrend. I chose to buy the stock in spite of the following negative factor: - The company's industry group ("Energy - Alternative / Other") is ranked #187 for relative strength out of 197 industry groups tracked by Investor's Business Daily. This ranking changes daily, and it has been generally flat to falling just slightly over recent weeks and months. -KD, Wednesday, December 29, 2010
* Buy prices shown are net after commissions. ** Current prices are at least 20 minutes old. Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc. My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com. To subscribe or unsubscribe, include the word "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" in the Subject line. This newsletter is free to managed account clients. For a limited time, it is also free to all interested parties. Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in strict confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others. All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.
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