The Deen's ListTM
A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com)
Our goal: Outperform the S&P 500 in both up markets and down.
Our result: +56.6% for the 60 months ending September 1, 2010 (vs. -2.1% for the S&P)
For complete performance data, click here
Vol.8 #200 Thursday, September 2, 2010 2:50PM EDT

Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter.

Market Stance: BULLISH (since September 1, 2010)

Contents

Typical Client Performance
Bought Spreadtrum Communications (SPRD)
Sold S&P Depositary Receipt (SPY) +2.4%
Typical Client Portfolio
Subscription Information
Privacy Policy
Disclaimers
Contact Us

Typical Client Performance

Deen Capital S&P 500
Year-to-date as of September 1, 2010 -0.1% * -1.9%
12 months (Sep 1, 2009 to Sep 1, 2010) +12.1% * +10.3%
24 months (Sep 1, 2008 to Sep 1, 2010) +3.1% * -11.7%
36 months (Sep 1, 2007 to Sep 1, 2010) +5.7% * -21.6%
48 months (Sep 1, 2006 to Sep 1, 2010) +22.2% * -10.4%
60 months (Sep 1, 2005 to Sep 1, 2010) +56.6% * -2.1%

* An average of managed accounts, net after all commissions and fees.

Click here for more performance data.

Click here for information on managed accounts.

Bought Spreadtrum Communications (SPRD)

Initial percent of portfolio (approx.)4.0%
Net buy price in managed accounts*$11.85
Most recent close (Sep 01)$11.34
Net change (based on net buy price)+0.51
Today's volume as of 2:47pm EDT1.7 million ($20.4 million)
Average daily volume785,000 ($9.3 million)
This year's earnings-per-share$0.97 (est)
Next year's earnings-per-share$1.29 (est)
P/E using next year's earnings9.2 (est)
Earnings growth rate, next 5 years25% per year (est)
Corporate HeadquartersShanghai, China
Web sitewww.spreadtrum.com

* Buy prices shown are net after commissions and fees.

Today, Thursday, September 2, 2010, I bought SPRD, for both client and my personal accounts.

Spreadtrum Communications, Inc., is a Chinese designer of baseband and RF processors and chips used in wireless handsets.

Here's why I bought this stock:

+ Breakout: Two days ago, Tuesday, Aug 31, this stock soared 13% on huge volume. This move was a breakout from a 3-month trading range to a new 24-month high.

+ Volume spike, mostly on the buy side: Tuesday's volume was more than 6x average, and set a 12-month record.

+ Excellent recent sales growth. Here are the quarterly year-to-year sales growth rates from the last four quarters, in chronological order: +92%, +313%, +534%, and, most recently, for the quarter ended June 30, +341% to $71.4 million.

+ Excellent recent earnings-per-share growth. Here are the quarterly EPS figures for the last eight quarters:

Sep 09 vs Sep 08:  5c vs (10c)
Dec 09 vs Dec 08:  6c vs (33c)
Mar 10 vs Mar 09: 17c vs (17c)
Jun 10 vs Jun 09: 34c vs (16c)

+ Strong and rising earnings-per-share estimates: According to recent data from First Call, the consensus earnings estimate for 2010 is $0.97, revised upward from $0.91 90 days ago (and up from 2009 loss of 21c); and the consensus estimate for 2011 is $1.29, revised upward from $1.08 90 days ago.

+ Valuation: At 9 times next year's estimated earnings and a projected 5-year annualized earnings growth rate of 25%, the stock is still, even after this week's big gain, very attractively priced.

+ The stock's 200-day moving average is rising, indicating a long-term uptrend.

I chose to buy the stock in spite of the following negative factor:

- The company's industry group ("Elec - Semiconductor Fabless") is ranked #34 for relative strength out of 197 industry groups tracked by Investor's Business Daily. This ranking changes daily, and it has been generally falling over recent weeks and months.

-KD, Thursday, September 2, 2010

Sold S&P Depositary Receipt (SPY) +2.4%

Net sell price in managed accounts*$109.13
Date(s) boughtAug 27 2010
Net buy price in managed accounts*$106.60
Holding period0.9 weeks
Gain/loss in managed accounts*+2.4% (after commissions)

* Buy and sell prices shown are net after commissions and fees. This means that the gain/loss shown is also net after transaction expenses.

Today, Thursday, September 2, 2010, I sold SPY, for both client and my personal accounts.

I sold just enough SPY to pay for SPRD plus a little more to fund my next buy ... whatever that might be.

-KD, Thursday, September 2, 2010

Typical Client Portfolio

Company Name Stock
Symbol
Buy
Date
NetBuy
Price*
Current
Price**
Weeks
Held
% of
Portfolio
Gain
(Loss)
Spreadtrum Communications SPRD 09/02/10 $11.85 $12.21 0.0 4.1% +3.1%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 09/01/10 $106.98 $109.02 0.1 19.4% +1.9%
G-III Apparel Group, Ltd GIII 09/01/10 $28.27 $30.20 0.1 6.3% +6.8%
Cirrus Logic Inc. CRUS 09/01/10 $16.39 $16.83 0.1 6.1% +2.7%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 08/30/10 $106.83 $109.02 0.4 19.8% +2.1%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 08/27/10 $106.60 $109.02 0.9 18.8% +2.3%
VeriFone Systems, Inc. PAY 08/26/10 $24.45 $25.50 1.0 5.0% +4.3%
Radiant Systems Inc. RADS 08/12/10 $15.84 $19.00 3.0 5.9% +19.9%
Nanometrics Inc. NANO 08/12/10 $12.59 $14.25 3.0 5.6% +13.2%
Cash 8.8%  
Total 100%  

* Buy prices shown are net after commissions.

** Current prices are at least 20 minutes old.

Subscription Information

Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc.

My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter.

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Privacy Policy

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Disclaimers

All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.

Contact Us

The Deen's List
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