The Deen's ListTM
A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com)
Our goal: Outperform the S&P 500 in both up markets and down.
Our result: +57.6% for the 60 months ending July 9, 2010 (vs. -1.6% for the S&P)
For complete performance data, click here
Vol.8 #149 Saturday, July 10, 2010 2:55PM EDT

Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter.

Weekly Status Report: Contents

Typical Client Performance
Market Commentary
Typical Client Portfolio
Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks
Subscription Information
Privacy Policy
Disclaimers
Contact Us

Typical Client Performance

Deen Capital S&P 500
Year-to-date as of July 9, 2010 +2.8% * -2.4%
12 months (Jul 9, 2009 to Jul 9, 2010) +23.7% * +24.5%
24 months (Jul 9, 2008 to Jul 9, 2010) +3.3% * -9.2%
36 months (Jul 9, 2007 to Jul 9, 2010) +6.1% * -24.8%
48 months (Jul 9, 2006 to Jul 9, 2010) +28.7% * -7.4%
60 months (Jul 9, 2005 to Jul 9, 2010) +57.6% * -1.6%

* An average of managed accounts, net after all commissions and fees.

Click here for more performance data.

Click here for information on managed accounts.

Market Commentary

Market Stance: BEARISH (since June 25, 2010)

Last week, the market rallied strongly, with the S&P up +5.5%. Deen Capital accounts also posted sharp gains, at +3.6%. We underperformed because I am still bearish, still holding a conservative portfolio.

I don't trust this rally. The week before last was a major down week, and last week was its mirror image. Volume was very heavy going down, and lighter on the rebound. Generally speaking, lighter volume days should be ignored when assessing the market's direction. Also, my indicators remain 2-out-of-3 bearish. All this suggests that the bear market, which began in late April, is not yet over.

We are now 85% in SPY (the S&P 500), and 15% in cash. I will at least consider raising that cash level on Monday, as I suspect we may be at or near a minor top. But even without raising cash, this 85% SPY / 15% cash portfolio is consistent with my bearish stance. With this portfolio, we are guaranteed to outperform if the market goes down (and to underperform if it goes up).

Year-to-date, the scorecard now reads: Deen Capital +2.8%, S&P -2.4%.

My Three Primary Technical Indicators:

                                       Prior week             Now
                                       ----------           -------
NASDAQ Timing Model (Ver.10r):           BEARISH            BEARISH (1)
Last signal:  BEARISH on Apr 27, 2010

Performance of Recent Stock Picks:  -5.7 BEARISH       +2.5 BEARISH (2)

Market Internals:                    23% BEARISH        44% BULLISH (3)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Market's Overall Technical Rating:       BEARISH            BEARISH

Stocks:Cash ratio (average):              44:56              85:15

(1) A proprietary computer model based on technical analysis of the NASDAQ Composite.

(2) This number (from -10 to +10) is based on the performance of ALL my recent stock picks (I actually buy only some of these). A positive number means my recent stock picks are generally rising; a negative number means they are generally falling. Even so, I consider a reading below +3.1 to be bearish. I require a reading of +5.6 or better to call this indicator bullish.

(3) This is the percentage of stocks ($8 and up) which are trading above their 50-day moving average. The rating of this percentage (bullish, bearish or neutral) is based on which way it's been moving recently -- up, down or sideways.

-KD, Saturday, July 10, 2010

Typical Client Portfolio

Company Name Stock
Symbol
Buy
Date
NetBuy
Price*
Current
Price
Weeks
Held
% of
Portfolio
Gain
(Loss)
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 07/08/10 $107.20 $107.96 0.1 9.5% +0.7%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 07/06/10 $103.73 $107.96 0.4 35.3% +4.1%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 06/28/10 $107.83 $107.96 1.6 40.1% +0.1%
Cash 15.1%  
Total 100%  

* Buy prices shown are net after commissions.

Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks

Company Name Stock
Symbol
Buy
Date
NetBuy
Price*
Sell
Date
NetSell
Price*
Weeks
Held
Gain
(Loss)*
Tibco Software Inc. TIBX 06/25/10 $12.82 07/06/10 $11.92 1.6 -7.1%
SMART Modular Technologies SMOD 06/18/10 $6.79 06/29/10 $6.02 1.6 -11.4%
iGATE Corp. IGTE 06/17/10 $13.90 06/29/10 $13.26 1.7 -4.6%
Entropic Communications ENTR 06/21/10 $6.41 06/29/10 $6.38 1.1 -0.5%
Deckers Outdoor Corp. DECK 06/17/10 $161.60 06/29/10 $143.38 1.7 -11.3%
Cirrus Logic Inc. CRUS 06/16/10 $15.53 06/29/10 $16.01 1.9 +3.1%
American Public Education APEI 06/17/10 $47.56 06/29/10 $44.36 1.7 -6.7%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 06/18/10 $111.71 06/25/10 $108.08 1.0 -3.2%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 06/16/10 $111.99 06/25/10 $108.08 1.3 -3.5%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 06/15/10 $111.85 06/25/10 $108.08 1.4 -3.4%
Avago Technologies Ltd. AVGO 06/16/10 $22.84 06/24/10 $21.11 1.1 -7.6%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 06/09/10 $107.29 06/09/10 $106.63 0.0 -0.6%
Maidenform Brands MFB 05/13/10 $25.03 05/20/10 $22.77 1.0 -9.0%
Local.com Corp. LOCM 04/26/10 $8.16 05/14/10 $8.26 2.6 +1.3%
Idexx Labs IDXX 04/23/10 $66.72 05/14/10 $64.22 3.0 -3.7%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 05/10/10 $116.63 05/13/10 $116.31 0.4 -0.3%
DG FastChannel, Inc. DGIT 05/06/10 $40.93 05/13/10 $41.28 1.0 +0.8%
ResMed Inc. RMD 05/04/10 $67.71 05/07/10 $63.21 0.4 -6.6%
RF Micro Devices RFMD 04/29/10 $5.97 05/06/10 $5.21 1.0 -12.6%
Western Digital Corp. WDC 04/26/10 $44.18 05/04/10 $40.42 1.1 -8.5%
Tupperware Brands Corp. TUP 04/21/10 $53.53 04/28/10 $51.17 1.0 -4.4%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 04/20/10 $120.57 04/28/10 $119.04 1.1 -1.3%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 04/19/10 $119.61 04/28/10 $119.04 1.3 -0.5%
Dollar Tree Inc. DLTR 03/02/10 $55.85 04/28/10 $61.41 8.1 +9.9%
Bed Bath & Beyond BBBY 04/08/10 $46.72 04/28/10 $46.54 2.9 -0.4%
Teradyne Inc. TER 04/22/10 $13.06 04/27/10 $12.58 0.7 -3.7%
Nu Skin Enterprises Inc. NUS 03/08/10 $29.35 04/27/10 $32.68 7.1 +11.4%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 04/19/10 $119.61 04/26/10 $121.36 1.0 +1.5%
S X C Health Solutions SXCI 03/04/10 $57.87 04/21/10 $67.06 6.9 +15.9%
TRW Automotive Holdings TRW 02/25/10 $26.14 04/19/10 $31.93 7.6 +22.2%
Systemax Inc. SYX 03/11/10 $20.10 04/19/10 $22.14 5.6 +10.1%
Lululemon Athletica Inc. LULU 03/25/10 $40.22 04/19/10 $42.15 3.6 +4.8%
Kulicke And Soffa KLIC 03/16/10 $6.98 04/19/10 $8.10 4.9 +16.0%
Harbin Electric Inc. HRBN 04/05/10 $23.35 04/19/10 $21.96 2.0 -5.9%
Cirrus Logic Inc. CRUS 04/01/10 $8.46 04/19/10 $9.78 2.6 +15.7%
LivePerson Inc. LPSN 03/12/10 $7.78 04/16/10 $8.54 5.0 +9.9%
Integrated Silicon Solutions ISSI 03/23/10 $8.78 04/16/10 $10.84 3.4 +23.4%
China Info Security Tech CPBY 04/06/10 $6.97 04/16/10 $6.42 1.4 -7.9%
China-Biotics Inc. CHBT 03/19/10 $18.67 04/16/10 $17.43 4.0 -6.6%
SMART Modular Technologies SMOD 03/26/10 $8.03 04/15/10 $7.64 2.9 -4.9%
City Telecom (H.K.) Ltd. CTEL 03/22/10 $15.29 04/15/10 $14.78 3.4 -3.4%
American Public Education APEI 02/25/10 $43.20 04/14/10 $45.24 6.9 +4.7%
Jazz Pharmaceuticals Inc. JAZZ 03/05/10 $11.78 04/13/10 $11.25 5.6 -4.5%

* Buy and sell prices shown are net after commissions. This means that the gains/losses shown are also net after transaction expenses.

Subscription Information

Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc.

My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter.

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Disclaimers

All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.

Contact Us

The Deen's List
PO Box 30925
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(800) 353-4990
deenslist@deencapital.com

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