The Deen's ListTM
A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com)
Our goal: Outperform the S&P 500 in both up markets and down.
Our result: +53.3% for the 60 months ending July 2, 2010 (vs. -5.0% for the S&P)
For complete performance data, click here
Vol.8 #145 Saturday, July 3, 2010 9:06PM EDT

Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter.

Weekly Status Report: Contents

Typical Client Performance
Market Commentary
Typical Client Portfolio
Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks
Subscription Information
Privacy Policy
Disclaimers
Contact Us

Typical Client Performance

Deen Capital S&P 500
Year-to-date as of July 2, 2010 -0.8% * -7.4%
12 months (Jul 2, 2009 to Jul 2, 2010) +16.8% * +16.3%
24 months (Jul 2, 2008 to Jul 2, 2010) -1.3% * -15.0%
36 months (Jul 2, 2007 to Jul 2, 2010) +2.3% * -28.1%
48 months (Jul 2, 2006 to Jul 2, 2010) +22.8% * -12.4%
60 months (Jul 2, 2005 to Jul 2, 2010) +53.3% * -5.0%

* An average of managed accounts, net after all commissions and fees.

Click here for more performance data.

Click here for information on managed accounts.

Market Commentary

Market Stance: BEARISH (since June 25, 2010)

Last week was ugly. Stocks fell to a new 2010 low, as worries about a double dip recession ruled the day. The S&P gave back -5.0%, and Deen Capital accounts dropped -4.1%. My #1 goal is to outperform the S&P, and we did that, but I certainly could have done even better.

One week ago, I wrote of a "fair to good chance" that the market had hit bottom and would start trending higher. I couldn't have been more wrong. This, plus the deduction of my quarterly management fee, explains why we posted this one-week loss. On the other hand, because my indicators were overall bearish throughout, I was careful to maintain a less-risky-than-the-S&P portfolio all week. This is why we outperformed.

Year-to-date, we're still way ahead, with Deen Capital -0.8% and the S&P -7.4%.

We are in a strong downtrend here, and I see no hint of a bottom. My indicators worsened, and are now unanimously bearish. Cash is the place to be. As always, however, this assessment is subject to change without notice, as I re-evaluate market conditions daily.

My Three Primary Technical Indicators:

                                       Prior week             Now
                                       ----------           -------
NASDAQ Timing Model (Ver.10r):           BEARISH            BEARISH (1)
Last signal:  BEARISH on Apr 27, 2010

Performance of Recent Stock Picks:  +1.7 BEARISH       -5.7 BEARISH (2)

Market Internals:                    35% NEUTRAL        23% BEARISH (3)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Market's Overall Technical Rating:       BEARISH            BEARISH

Stocks:Cash ratio (average):              35:65              44:56

(1) A proprietary computer model based on technical analysis of the NASDAQ Composite.

(2) This number (from -10 to +10) is based on the performance of ALL my recent stock picks (I actually buy only some of these). A positive number means my recent stock picks are generally rising; a negative number means they are generally falling. Even so, I consider a reading below +3.1 to be bearish. I require a reading of +5.6 or better to call this indicator bullish.

(3) This is the percentage of stocks ($8 and up) which are trading above their 50-day moving average. The rating of this percentage (bullish, bearish or neutral) is based on which way it's been moving recently -- up, down or sideways.

-KD, Saturday, July 3, 2010

Typical Client Portfolio

Company Name Stock
Symbol
Buy
Date
NetBuy
Price*
Current
Price
Weeks
Held
% of
Portfolio
Gain
(Loss)
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 06/28/10 $107.83 $102.20 0.6 39.4% -5.2%
Tibco Software Inc. TIBX 06/25/10 $12.82 $12.09 1.0 4.9% -5.7%
Cash 55.7%  
Total 100%  

* Buy prices shown are net after commissions.

Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks

Company Name Stock
Symbol
Buy
Date
NetBuy
Price*
Sell
Date
NetSell
Price*
Weeks
Held
Gain
(Loss)*
SMART Modular Technologies SMOD 06/18/10 $6.79 06/29/10 $6.02 1.6 -11.4%
iGATE Corp. IGTE 06/17/10 $13.90 06/29/10 $13.26 1.7 -4.6%
Entropic Communications ENTR 06/21/10 $6.41 06/29/10 $6.38 1.1 -0.5%
Deckers Outdoor Corp. DECK 06/17/10 $161.60 06/29/10 $143.38 1.7 -11.3%
Cirrus Logic Inc. CRUS 06/16/10 $15.53 06/29/10 $16.01 1.9 +3.1%
American Public Education APEI 06/17/10 $47.56 06/29/10 $44.36 1.7 -6.7%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 06/18/10 $111.71 06/25/10 $108.08 1.0 -3.2%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 06/16/10 $111.99 06/25/10 $108.08 1.3 -3.5%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 06/15/10 $111.85 06/25/10 $108.08 1.4 -3.4%
Avago Technologies Ltd. AVGO 06/16/10 $22.84 06/24/10 $21.11 1.1 -7.6%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 06/09/10 $107.29 06/09/10 $106.63 0.0 -0.6%
Maidenform Brands MFB 05/13/10 $25.03 05/20/10 $22.77 1.0 -9.0%
Local.com Corp. LOCM 04/26/10 $8.16 05/14/10 $8.26 2.6 +1.3%
Idexx Labs IDXX 04/23/10 $66.72 05/14/10 $64.22 3.0 -3.7%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 05/10/10 $116.63 05/13/10 $116.31 0.4 -0.3%
DG FastChannel, Inc. DGIT 05/06/10 $40.93 05/13/10 $41.28 1.0 +0.8%
ResMed Inc. RMD 05/04/10 $67.71 05/07/10 $63.21 0.4 -6.6%
RF Micro Devices RFMD 04/29/10 $5.97 05/06/10 $5.21 1.0 -12.6%
Western Digital Corp. WDC 04/26/10 $44.18 05/04/10 $40.42 1.1 -8.5%
Tupperware Brands Corp. TUP 04/21/10 $53.53 04/28/10 $51.17 1.0 -4.4%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 04/20/10 $120.57 04/28/10 $119.04 1.1 -1.3%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 04/19/10 $119.61 04/28/10 $119.04 1.3 -0.5%
Dollar Tree Inc. DLTR 03/02/10 $55.85 04/28/10 $61.41 8.1 +9.9%
Bed Bath & Beyond BBBY 04/08/10 $46.72 04/28/10 $46.54 2.9 -0.4%
Teradyne Inc. TER 04/22/10 $13.06 04/27/10 $12.58 0.7 -3.7%
Nu Skin Enterprises Inc. NUS 03/08/10 $29.35 04/27/10 $32.68 7.1 +11.4%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 04/19/10 $119.61 04/26/10 $121.36 1.0 +1.5%
S X C Health Solutions SXCI 03/04/10 $57.87 04/21/10 $67.06 6.9 +15.9%
TRW Automotive Holdings TRW 02/25/10 $26.14 04/19/10 $31.93 7.6 +22.2%
Systemax Inc. SYX 03/11/10 $20.10 04/19/10 $22.14 5.6 +10.1%
Lululemon Athletica Inc. LULU 03/25/10 $40.22 04/19/10 $42.15 3.6 +4.8%
Kulicke And Soffa KLIC 03/16/10 $6.98 04/19/10 $8.10 4.9 +16.0%
Harbin Electric Inc. HRBN 04/05/10 $23.35 04/19/10 $21.96 2.0 -5.9%
Cirrus Logic Inc. CRUS 04/01/10 $8.46 04/19/10 $9.78 2.6 +15.7%
LivePerson Inc. LPSN 03/12/10 $7.78 04/16/10 $8.54 5.0 +9.9%
Integrated Silicon Solutions ISSI 03/23/10 $8.78 04/16/10 $10.84 3.4 +23.4%
China Info Security Tech CPBY 04/06/10 $6.97 04/16/10 $6.42 1.4 -7.9%
China-Biotics Inc. CHBT 03/19/10 $18.67 04/16/10 $17.43 4.0 -6.6%
SMART Modular Technologies SMOD 03/26/10 $8.03 04/15/10 $7.64 2.9 -4.9%
City Telecom (H.K.) Ltd. CTEL 03/22/10 $15.29 04/15/10 $14.78 3.4 -3.4%
American Public Education APEI 02/25/10 $43.20 04/14/10 $45.24 6.9 +4.7%
Jazz Pharmaceuticals Inc. JAZZ 03/05/10 $11.78 04/13/10 $11.25 5.6 -4.5%
Health Management Assoc, Inc HMA 03/22/10 $8.85 04/07/10 $8.50 2.3 -4.0%
Lincoln Educational LINC 03/03/10 $24.55 04/05/10 $25.00 4.7 +1.8%

* Buy and sell prices shown are net after commissions. This means that the gains/losses shown are also net after transaction expenses.

Subscription Information

Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc.

My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter.

Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com. To subscribe or unsubscribe, include the word "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" in the Subject line.

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Privacy Policy

Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in strict confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others.

Disclaimers

All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.

Contact Us

The Deen's List
PO Box 30925
Santa Barbara, CA 93130
(800) 353-4990
deenslist@deencapital.com

Copyright © 2010 Deen Capital Management, Inc.