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Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter. Weekly Status Report: Contents
Typical Client Performance
* An average of managed accounts, net after all commissions and fees. Click here for more performance data. Click here for information on managed accounts. Market Stance: BULLISH (since June 18, 2010) Last week in this space, I described this market rally, which began June 8, as "highly suspect". Yesterday, I changed my tune. The rally continues, and I'm now on board. I turned officially bullish yesterday. The market's tone is improving, as are my three indicators. They are now straddling the fence -- one bullish, one neutral, one bearish. The deciding factor here, in my view, is that my stock picks are performing exceptionally well. (One anecdotal example: CRUS was up +9.7% Thursday, and then another +4.8% Friday. We bought it Wednesday.) My one bullish indicator is the one which tracks my stock picks. This is also the indicator I consider the most important of the three, so I'm letting it serve as the tie breaker. There is plenty of room for doubt, to be sure, but I now think this market can probably rally at least back up to its April highs, which is a solid +8.9% gain from here. We under-performed last week (Deen Capital +0.9% versus S&P +2.4%), but this is to be expected during bearish-to-bullish transition weeks. We go into such weeks heavily in cash. This excuse will not apply going forward. Our accounts are now slightly more volatile than the market -- which means we are likely to outperform if favorable market conditions persist as I expect. Year-to-date, the scorecard now reads: Deen Capital +7.5%, S&P +1.1%. My Three Primary Technical Indicators:
Prior week Now
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NASDAQ Timing Model (Ver.10r): BEARISH BEARISH (1)
Last signal: BEARISH on Apr 27, 2010
Performance of Recent Stock Picks: +2.4 BEARISH +7.4 BULLISH (2)
Market Internals: 27% NEUTRAL 40% NEUTRAL (3)
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Market's Overall Technical Rating: BEARISH NEUTRAL
Stocks:Cash ratio (average): 0:100 91:9
(1) A proprietary computer model based on technical analysis of the NASDAQ Composite. (2) This number (from -10 to +10) is based on the performance of ALL my recent stock picks (I actually buy only some of these). A positive number means my recent stock picks are generally rising; a negative number means they are generally falling. Even so, I consider a reading below +3.1 to be bearish. I require a reading of +5.6 or better to call this indicator bullish. (3) This is the percentage of stocks ($8 and up) which are trading above their 50-day moving average. The rating of this percentage (bullish, bearish or neutral) is based on which way it's been moving recently -- up, down or sideways. -KD, Saturday, June 19, 2010
* Buy prices shown are net after commissions. Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks
* Buy and sell prices shown are net after commissions. This means that the gains/losses shown are also net after transaction expenses. Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc. My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter. Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com. To subscribe or unsubscribe, include the word "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" in the Subject line. This newsletter is free to managed account clients. For a limited time, it is also free to all interested parties. Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in strict confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others. All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.
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