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Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter. Weekly Status Report: Contents
Typical Client Performance
* An average of managed accounts, net after all commissions and fees. Click here for more performance data. Click here for information on managed accounts. Market Stance: BEARISH (since April 27, 2010) May was ugly, and now so was the first week of June. I've said it before, and I'll say it again: Losing less on the way down is every bit as important as gaining more than the way up. Last week, we lost nothing. We were 100% in cash, while the market (S&P) fell another 2.2%. You may recall I turned bearish back on April 27 ( http://www.deencapital.com/newslett/2010/100427.102.html#1 ). Since that date, the scoreboard reads: Deen Capital -1.7%, S&P -9.8%. April 27, by the way, was just two business days after the absolute top. I am watching the market closely, looking for signs that market psychology, now very negative, is starting to turn around. Instead, I am seeing exactly the opposite. Market psychology is, if anything, growing even worse. I say this in part because the heavy volume last week was on the downside (Friday). Also, my indicators, unanimously bearish for many weeks now, are even more negative than they were a week ago. I think an outstanding buying opportunity lies ahead, but exactly how far ahead I cannot say. I do not try to predict market tops or bottoms. Instead, I try to recognize them as soon as possible after the fact. Right now, the trend is clearly down, and I see no sign whatsoever of a bottom. My Three Primary Technical Indicators:
Prior week Now
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NASDAQ Timing Model (Ver.10r): BEARISH BEARISH (1)
Last signal: BEARISH on Apr 27, 2010
Performance of Recent Stock Picks: +0.0 BEARISH -3.3 BEARISH (2)
Market Internals: 23% BEARISH 18% BEARISH (3)
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Market's Overall Technical Rating: BEARISH BEARISH
Stocks:Cash ratio (average): 0:100 0:100
(1) A proprietary computer model based on technical analysis of the NASDAQ Composite. (2) This number (from -10 to +10) is based on the performance of ALL my recent stock picks (I actually buy only some of these). A positive number means my recent stock picks are generally rising; a negative number means they are generally falling. Even so, I consider a reading below +3.1 to be bearish. I require a reading of +5.6 or better to call this indicator bullish. (3) This is the percentage of stocks ($8 and up) which are trading above their 50-day moving average. The rating of this percentage (bullish, bearish or neutral) is based on which way it's been moving recently -- up, down or sideways. -KD, Saturday, June 5, 2010
* Buy prices shown are net after commissions. Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks
* Buy and sell prices shown are net after commissions. This means that the gains/losses shown are also net after transaction expenses. Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc. My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter. Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com. To subscribe or unsubscribe, include the word "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" in the Subject line. This newsletter is free to managed account clients. For a limited time, it is also free to all interested parties. Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in strict confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others. All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.
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