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The Deen's ListTM
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| Our goal since Oct. 2005: Outperform the S&P through up markets and down.
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| A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com)
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| Vol.7 #316 |
Friday, December 25, 2009 |
9:52AM EST |
Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter.
Weekly Status Report: Contents
Performance
Market Commentary
Open Positions
Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks
Subscription Information
Privacy Policy
Disclaimers
Contact Us
Performance
|
Deen Capital |
S&P 500 |
| Year-to-date as of December 24, 2009 |
+27.0% * |
+27.7% |
| 12 months (Dec 24, 2008 to Dec 24, 2009) |
+31.0% * |
+33.0% |
| 24 months (Dec 24, 2007 to Dec 24, 2009) |
-7.1% * |
-21.0% |
| 36 months (Dec 24, 2006 to Dec 24, 2009) |
+20.1% * |
-14.7% |
| 48 months (Dec 24, 2005 to Dec 24, 2009) |
+43.7% * |
-3.5% |
* An average of managed accounts, net after all commissions and fees.
Click here for more performance data.
Click here for information on managed accounts.
Market Commentary
Market Stance: BULLISH (since December 1, 2009)
I'm very pleased to report a short but outstanding week, both for the market
(S&P +2.2%), and even more so for Deen Capital clients (+3.5% on average).
The market, and our accounts, closed at a fresh 2009 high yesterday.
A merry Christmas indeed! 2009 may be a lousy year for the economy and for
many who have lost their jobs and/or their homes, but it has been an
outstanding year for stocks. I'll say more about that next week, in 2010.
My stock picks are on fire, as you can see from the Model Portfolio below.
We are in the sweet spot here. The present pace of gains is unsustainable,
and, sooner or later, we're bound to have a correction. But, as long-time
subscribers know, I do not even try to predict when that will be. Instead,
my approach is to identify early signs of a significant correction -- as
soon as possible AFTER it has begun.
And what about my indicators? They improved last week, from overall neutral
to overall bullish, thanks to a slight improvement in the performance of my
recent stock picks.
My market view has not changed since one week ago, when I opined that "the
bull market we've enjoyed since March continues apace, and our aggressive
portfolio (now 1.7 times as volatile, statistically, as the S&P) is well
suited to this environment".
My Three Primary Technical Indicators:
Prior week Now
---------- -------
NASDAQ Timing Model (Ver.10r): BEARISH BEARISH (1)
Last signal: BEARISH on Nov 20, 2009
Performance of Recent Stock Picks: +4.8 NEUTRAL +6.6 BULLISH (2)
Market Internals: 64% BULLISH 76% BULLISH (3)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Market's Overall Technical Rating: NEUTRAL BULLISH
Stocks:Cash ratio (average): 100:0 96:4
(1) A proprietary computer model based on technical analysis of the NASDAQ
Composite.
(2) This number (from -10 to +10) is based on the performance of ALL my
recent stock picks (I actually buy only some of these). A positive number
means my recent stock picks are generally rising; a negative number means
they are generally falling. Even so, I consider a reading below +3.1 to be
bearish. I require a reading of +5.6 or better to call this indicator
bullish.
(3) This is the percentage of stocks ($8 and up) which are trading above
their 50-day moving average. The rating of this percentage (bullish,
bearish or neutral) is based on which way it's been moving recently -- up,
down or sideways.
-KD, Friday, December 25, 2009
Open Positions
Model Portfolio
| Company Name |
Stock
Symbol |
Buy
Date |
NetBuy
Price* |
Current
Price |
Weeks
Held |
% of
Portfolio |
Gain
(Loss) |
| China Agritech Inc. |
CAGC |
12/23/09 |
$28.12 |
$28.69 |
0.3 |
4.9% |
+2.0% |
| China Automotive Systems |
CAAS |
12/23/09 |
$18.44 |
$19.86 |
0.3 |
5.3% |
+7.7% |
| Celgene Corp. |
CELG |
12/22/09 |
$56.39 |
$56.38 |
0.4 |
4.8% |
-0.0% |
| Research In Motion |
RIMM |
12/21/09 |
$69.74 |
$66.92 |
0.6 |
4.6% |
-4.0% |
| Credit Acceptance Corp. |
CACC |
12/17/09 |
$39.16 |
$43.11 |
1.1 |
5.3% |
+10.1% |
| AsiaInfo Holdings Inc. |
ASIA |
12/08/09 |
$29.79 |
$31.05 |
2.4 |
5.0% |
+4.2% |
| China Sky One Medical |
CSKI |
12/03/09 |
$17.40 |
$23.50 |
3.1 |
6.6% |
+35.1% |
| SmartHeat Inc. |
HEAT |
11/30/09 |
$13.03 |
$14.82 |
3.6 |
5.2% |
+13.7% |
| Telestone Technology |
TSTC |
11/25/09 |
$13.63 |
$19.72 |
4.3 |
6.7% |
+44.7% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
11/25/09 |
$111.39 |
$112.48 |
4.3 |
24.2% |
+1.0% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
11/16/09 |
$110.45 |
$112.48 |
5.6 |
18.8% |
+1.8% |
| Priceline.com Inc. |
PCLN |
11/10/09 |
$203.56 |
$228.00 |
6.4 |
5.1% |
+12.0% |
| Cash |
3.4% |
|
| Total |
100% |
|
* Buy prices shown are net after commissions and fees.
Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks
| Company Name |
Stock
Symbol |
Buy
Date |
NetBuy
Price* |
Sell
Date |
NetSell
Price* |
Weeks
Held |
Gain
(Loss)* |
| Cyberonics Inc. |
CYBX |
12/02/09 |
$18.06 |
12/22/09 |
$20.49 |
2.9 |
+13.5% |
| Hi-Tech Pharmacal Co. Inc. |
HITK |
12/09/09 |
$24.01 |
12/22/09 |
$29.20 |
1.9 |
+21.6% |
| China Education Alliance |
CEU |
12/08/09 |
$6.40 |
12/22/09 |
$5.75 |
2.0 |
-10.1% |
| Lihua International, Inc. |
LIWA |
12/02/09 |
$9.99 |
12/21/09 |
$9.51 |
2.7 |
-4.8% |
| China Green Agriculture Inc. |
CGA |
12/01/09 |
$17.21 |
12/21/09 |
$14.86 |
2.9 |
-13.7% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
11/16/09 |
$110.45 |
12/17/09 |
$110.54 |
4.4 |
+0.1% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
11/13/09 |
$109.96 |
12/17/09 |
$110.54 |
4.9 |
+0.5% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
11/16/09 |
$110.45 |
12/09/09 |
$109.45 |
3.3 |
-0.9% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
11/13/09 |
$109.96 |
12/09/09 |
$109.45 |
3.7 |
-0.5% |
| China Yuchai Int'l |
CYD |
12/01/09 |
$16.90 |
12/08/09 |
$15.23 |
1.0 |
-9.9% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
11/13/09 |
$109.96 |
12/08/09 |
$109.82 |
3.6 |
-0.1% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
11/13/09 |
$109.96 |
12/03/09 |
$111.29 |
2.9 |
+1.2% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
11/13/09 |
$109.96 |
11/30/09 |
$109.12 |
2.4 |
-0.8% |
| Rehabcare Group Inc. |
RHB |
11/05/09 |
$24.32 |
11/27/09 |
$27.81 |
3.1 |
+14.3% |
| Telestone Technology |
TSTC |
11/13/09 |
$11.74 |
11/24/09 |
$12.16 |
1.6 |
+3.6% |
| Ultra S&P500 ProShares |
SSO |
11/13/09 |
$36.79 |
11/24/09 |
$37.16 |
1.6 |
+1.0% |
| RINO International Corp. |
RINO |
11/16/09 |
$27.48 |
11/24/09 |
$26.60 |
1.1 |
-3.2% |
| SmartHeat Inc. |
HEAT |
11/16/09 |
$11.31 |
11/24/09 |
$13.01 |
1.1 |
+15.0% |
| China-Biotics Inc. |
CHBT |
11/20/09 |
$14.74 |
11/24/09 |
$14.41 |
0.6 |
-2.2% |
| China Green Agriculture Inc. |
CGA |
11/18/09 |
$15.54 |
11/24/09 |
$15.39 |
0.9 |
-0.9% |
| China Automotive Systems |
CAAS |
11/17/09 |
$16.67 |
11/24/09 |
$16.13 |
1.0 |
-3.3% |
| Netflix Inc. |
NFLX |
10/26/09 |
$56.14 |
11/12/09 |
$58.38 |
2.4 |
+4.0% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
11/02/09 |
$105.00 |
11/12/09 |
$109.14 |
1.4 |
+3.9% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
10/29/09 |
$105.87 |
11/12/09 |
$109.14 |
2.0 |
+3.1% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
10/29/09 |
$105.87 |
10/30/09 |
$104.15 |
0.1 |
-1.6% |
| Apple, Inc. |
AAPL |
10/21/09 |
$205.93 |
10/30/09 |
$189.22 |
1.3 |
-8.1% |
| Lincoln Educational |
LINC |
09/28/09 |
$22.65 |
10/28/09 |
$21.31 |
4.3 |
-5.9% |
| Diedrich Coffee Inc. |
DDRX |
10/19/09 |
$28.03 |
10/28/09 |
$27.04 |
1.3 |
-3.5% |
| Telestone Technology |
TSTC |
10/21/09 |
$10.91 |
10/27/09 |
$9.39 |
0.9 |
-13.9% |
| Interactive Intelligence |
ININ |
10/13/09 |
$21.49 |
10/27/09 |
$18.55 |
2.0 |
-13.7% |
| AsiaInfo Holdings Inc. |
ASIA |
10/14/09 |
$23.38 |
10/27/09 |
$21.05 |
1.9 |
-10.0% |
| China Automotive Systems |
CAAS |
10/09/09 |
$10.51 |
10/26/09 |
$11.65 |
2.4 |
+10.8% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
10/09/09 |
$107.12 |
10/23/09 |
$108.01 |
2.0 |
+0.8% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
10/06/09 |
$105.96 |
10/23/09 |
$108.01 |
2.4 |
+1.9% |
| Zhongpin, Inc. |
HOGS |
09/08/09 |
$11.75 |
10/23/09 |
$15.17 |
6.4 |
+29.1% |
| Tongxin International |
TXIC |
10/08/09 |
$10.94 |
10/20/09 |
$10.47 |
1.7 |
-4.3% |
| RINO International Corp. |
RINO |
09/17/09 |
$14.10 |
10/19/09 |
$22.98 |
4.6 |
+62.9% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
10/06/09 |
$105.96 |
10/19/09 |
$109.70 |
1.9 |
+3.5% |
| Ulta Salon, Cosmetics |
ULTA |
09/16/09 |
$15.02 |
10/01/09 |
$16.45 |
2.1 |
+9.5% |
| Innodata Isogen |
INOD |
09/29/09 |
$7.90 |
10/01/09 |
$7.41 |
0.3 |
-6.2% |
| Hi-Tech Pharmacal Co. Inc. |
HITK |
09/09/09 |
$21.14 |
10/01/09 |
$21.55 |
3.1 |
+1.9% |
| SmartHeat Inc. |
HEAT |
09/25/09 |
$11.68 |
10/01/09 |
$11.00 |
0.9 |
-5.9% |
| Ebix Inc. |
EBIX |
09/28/09 |
$50.79 |
10/01/09 |
$53.77 |
0.4 |
+5.9% |
| China TransInfo Tech. Corp. |
CTFO |
09/22/09 |
$8.52 |
10/01/09 |
$9.01 |
1.3 |
+5.8% |
| China Fire & Security Group |
CFSG |
09/14/09 |
$17.04 |
10/01/09 |
$18.24 |
2.4 |
+7.0% |
| Bio-Reference Labs, Inc. |
BRLI |
09/16/09 |
$34.54 |
10/01/09 |
$34.31 |
2.1 |
-0.7% |
| American Superconductor |
AMSC |
09/30/09 |
$33.81 |
10/01/09 |
$32.16 |
0.1 |
-4.9% |
* Buy and sell prices shown are net after commissions and fees. This means
that the gains/losses shown are also net after transaction expenses.
Subscription Information
Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen
Capital Management, Inc.
My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my
stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of
client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then,
third, I send out this newsletter.
Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com.
To subscribe or unsubscribe, include the word "subscribe" or
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This newsletter is free to managed account clients. For a limited time,
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Privacy Policy
Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held
in strict confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it
with or sell it to others.
Disclaimers
All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of
risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's
ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be
profitable.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed
to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or
completeness.
Contact Us
The Deen's List
PO Box 30925
Santa Barbara, CA 93130
(800) 353-4990
deenslist@deencapital.com
Copyright © 2009 Deen Capital Management, Inc.
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