The Deen's ListTM
Our goal since Oct. 2005: Outperform the S&P through up markets and down.
A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com)
Vol.7 #299 Tuesday, December 1, 2009 11:58AM EST

Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter.

Market Stance: BULLISH (since December 1, 2009)

Contents

Performance
Bought China Yuchai Int'l (CYD)
Open Positions
Subscription Information
Privacy Policy
Disclaimers
Contact Us

Performance

Deen Capital S&P 500
Year-to-date as of November 30, 2009 +18.4% * +24.1%
12 months (Nov 30, 2008 to Nov 30, 2009) +14.6% * +25.4%
24 months (Nov 30, 2007 to Nov 30, 2009) -12.9% * -22.4%
36 months (Nov 30, 2006 to Nov 30, 2009) +16.1% * -16.5%
48 months (Nov 30, 2005 to Nov 30, 2009) +38.8% * -4.8%

* An average of managed accounts, net after all commissions and fees.

Click here for more performance data.

Click here for information on managed accounts.

Bought China Yuchai Int'l (CYD)

Initial percent of portfolio (approx.)5.0%
Net buy price in managed accounts*$16.90
Most recent close (Nov 30)$16.65
Net change (based on net buy price)+0.25
Today's volume as of 11:50am ET577,441 ($9.8 million)
Average daily volume237,500 ($4.0 million)
This year's earnings-per-sharen/a
Next year's earnings-per-sharen/a
P/E using next year's earningsn/a
Earnings growth rate, next 5 yearsn/a
Corporate HeadquartersSingapore
Web sitewww.cyilimited.com

* Buy prices shown are net after commissions and fees.

Today, Tuesday, December 1, 2009, I bought CYD, for both client and my personal accounts.

China Yuchai International Ltd, through its subsidiary, Guangxi Yuchai Machinery Company Limited (GYMCL), manufactures, assembles, and sells light-duty, medium-sized, and heavy-duty diesel engines for construction equipment, trucks, buses, and cars in China.

Here's why I bought this stock:

+ Technical: This stock has been very strong since a major breakout back on October 20. After two weeks of edging lower, the stock had a big up day yesterday (+12.3%) on extremely heavy volume (a 12-month record). I view this as a new technical buy signal.

+ Excellent and accelerating recent sales growth. Here are the quarterly year-to-year sales growth rates from the last four quarters, in chronological order: +16%, +12%, +33%, and, most recently, for the quarter ended Sep 30, +34% to $511.1 million.

+ The pattern of earnings growth has been a roller coaster ride, but the most recent quarter was superb. Here are the quarterly EPS figures for the last eight quarters:

Dec 08 vs Dec 07: 25c vs 48c
Mar 09 vs Mar 08: 92c vs 25c
Jun 09 vs Jun 08: 19c vs 25c
Sep 09 vs Sep 08: 98c vs 25c

There are no estimates available for this little-known stock.

+ Valuation: At 7 times trailing 12-month earnings, the stock is still, even after yesterday's big gain, attractively priced.

+ The stock's 200-day moving average is rising, indicating a long-term uptrend.

I chose to buy the stock in spite of the following negative factor:

- The company's industry group ("Trucks & Parts - Heavy Duty") is ranked #46 for relative strength out of 197 industry groups tracked by Investor's Business Daily. This ranking changes daily, and it has been generally falling over recent weeks and months.

-KD, Tuesday, December 1, 2009

Open Positions

Model Portfolio

Company Name Stock
Symbol
Buy
Date
NetBuy
Price*
Current
Price**
Weeks
Held
% of
Portfolio
Gain
(Loss)
China Yuchai Int'l CYD 12/01/09 $16.90 $16.88 0.0 5.0% -0.1%
SmartHeat Inc. HEAT 11/30/09 $13.03 $13.24 0.1 4.9% +1.6%
Telestone Technology TSTC 11/25/09 $13.63 $14.35 0.9 5.2% +5.3%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 11/25/09 $111.39 $111.39 0.9 25.4% -0.0%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 11/16/09 $110.45 $111.39 2.1 24.6% +0.8%
S&P Depositary Receipt SPY 11/13/09 $109.96 $111.39 2.6 15.2% +1.3%
Priceline.com Inc. PCLN 11/10/09 $203.56 $214.76 3.0 5.1% +5.5%
Cash 14.6%  
Total 100%  

* Buy prices shown are net after commissions and fees.

** Current prices are at least 20 minutes old.

Subscription Information

Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc.

My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter.

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Privacy Policy

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Disclaimers

All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.

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