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The Deen's ListTM
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| Our goal since Oct. 2005: Outperform the S&P through up markets and down.
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| A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com)
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| Vol.7 #256 |
Saturday, October 17, 2009 |
12:16PM EDT |
Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter.
Weekly Status Report: Contents
Performance
Market Commentary
Open Positions
Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks
Subscription Information
Privacy Policy
Disclaimers
Contact Us
Performance
|
Deen Capital |
S&P 500 |
| Year-to-date as of October 16, 2009 |
+20.8% * |
+22.8% |
| 12 months (Oct 16, 2008 to Oct 16, 2009) |
+13.5% * |
+18.0% |
| 24 months (Oct 16, 2007 to Oct 16, 2009) |
-9.6% * |
-25.9% |
| 36 months (Oct 16, 2006 to Oct 16, 2009) |
+20.7% * |
-15.2% |
| 48 months (Oct 16, 2005 to Oct 16, 2009) |
+53.4% * |
-0.4% |
* An average of managed accounts, net after all commissions and fees.
Click here for more performance data.
Click here for information on managed accounts.
Market Commentary
Market Stance: BULLISH (since October 9, 2009)
Last week, the S&P was up +1.5%, and Deen Capital accounts (on average) were
up +2.5%. A solid week by any measure.
Our accounts are fully invested and aggressively postured. Because we have
a number of highly volatile small stocks, we are taking on more risk than
the market here. I would expect generally to see our accounts go up more
than the market on good days, but also to fall harder than the market on bad
days.
Given the above, I was pleasantly surprised to find that we did relatively
well on the two down days last week (there were only 2). Tuesday, the S&P
gave back -0.3%, but Deen Capital accounts gained +0.3%. Friday, it was S&P
-0.8%, Deen Capital -0.2%. This is a good sign.
We've had a number of occasions in recent weeks where I thought the market
was highly vulnerable, and a correction was likely. Hasn't happened. Even
so, I remain on guard. We're bound to get a significant correction, it's
just a question of when.
At this moment, however, the bulls appear to be firmly in charge.
My Three Primary Technical Indicators:
Prior week Now
---------- -------
NASDAQ Timing Model (Ver.10r): BULLISH BULLISH (1)
Last signal: BULLISH on Sep 10, 2009
Performance of Recent Stock Picks: +6.4 BULLISH +6.7 BULLISH (2)
Market Internals: 81% BEARISH 77% BEARISH (3)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Market's Overall Technical Rating: BULLISH BULLISH
Stocks:Cash ratio (average): 89:11 99:1
(1) A proprietary computer model based on technical analysis of the NASDAQ
Composite.
(2) This number (from -10 to +10) is based on the performance of ALL my
recent stock picks (I actually buy only some of these). A positive number
means my recent stock picks are generally rising; a negative number means
they are generally falling. Even so, I consider a reading below +3.1 to be
bearish. I require a reading of +5.6 or better to call this indicator
bullish.
(3) This is the percentage of stocks ($8 and up) which are trading above
their 50-day moving average. The rating of this percentage (bullish,
bearish or neutral) is based on which way it's been moving recently -- up,
down or sideways.
-KD, Saturday, October 17, 2009
Open Positions
Model Portfolio
| Company Name |
Stock
Symbol |
Buy
Date |
NetBuy
Price* |
Current
Price |
Weeks
Held |
% of
Portfolio |
Gain
(Loss) |
| AsiaInfo Holdings Inc. |
ASIA |
10/14/09 |
$23.38 |
$23.26 |
0.4 |
4.9% |
-0.5% |
| Interactive Intelligence |
ININ |
10/13/09 |
$21.49 |
$22.66 |
0.6 |
5.2% |
+5.4% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
10/09/09 |
$107.12 |
$108.89 |
1.1 |
39.4% |
+1.7% |
| China Automotive Systems |
CAAS |
10/09/09 |
$10.51 |
$10.57 |
1.1 |
4.9% |
+0.6% |
| Tongxin International |
TXIC |
10/08/09 |
$10.94 |
$11.29 |
1.3 |
5.0% |
+3.2% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
10/06/09 |
$105.96 |
$108.89 |
1.6 |
19.8% |
+2.8% |
| Lincoln Educational |
LINC |
09/28/09 |
$22.65 |
$23.50 |
2.7 |
4.9% |
+3.8% |
| RINO International Corp. |
RINO |
09/17/09 |
$14.10 |
$25.14 |
4.3 |
8.4% |
+78.2% |
| Zhongpin, Inc. |
HOGS |
09/08/09 |
$11.75 |
$16.17 |
5.6 |
6.3% |
+37.6% |
| Cash |
1.2% |
|
| Total |
100% |
|
* Buy prices shown are net after commissions and fees.
Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks
| Company Name |
Stock
Symbol |
Buy
Date |
NetBuy
Price* |
Sell
Date |
NetSell
Price* |
Weeks
Held |
Gain
(Loss)* |
| Ulta Salon, Cosmetics |
ULTA |
09/16/09 |
$15.02 |
10/01/09 |
$16.45 |
2.1 |
+9.5% |
| Innodata Isogen |
INOD |
09/29/09 |
$7.90 |
10/01/09 |
$7.41 |
0.3 |
-6.2% |
| Hi-Tech Pharmacal Co. Inc. |
HITK |
09/09/09 |
$21.14 |
10/01/09 |
$21.55 |
3.1 |
+1.9% |
| SmartHeat Inc. |
HEAT |
09/25/09 |
$11.68 |
10/01/09 |
$11.00 |
0.9 |
-5.9% |
| Ebix Inc. |
EBIX |
09/28/09 |
$50.79 |
10/01/09 |
$53.77 |
0.4 |
+5.9% |
| China TransInfo Tech. Corp. |
CTFO |
09/22/09 |
$8.52 |
10/01/09 |
$9.01 |
1.3 |
+5.8% |
| China Fire & Security Group |
CFSG |
09/14/09 |
$17.04 |
10/01/09 |
$18.24 |
2.4 |
+7.0% |
| Bio-Reference Labs, Inc. |
BRLI |
09/16/09 |
$34.54 |
10/01/09 |
$34.31 |
2.1 |
-0.7% |
| American Superconductor |
AMSC |
09/30/09 |
$33.81 |
10/01/09 |
$32.16 |
0.1 |
-4.9% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
09/11/09 |
$104.83 |
09/25/09 |
$104.71 |
2.0 |
-0.1% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
09/10/09 |
$104.78 |
09/25/09 |
$104.71 |
2.1 |
-0.1% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
09/01/09 |
$102.82 |
09/25/09 |
$104.71 |
3.4 |
+1.8% |
| Ebix Inc. |
EBIX |
09/10/09 |
$52.53 |
09/22/09 |
$47.14 |
1.7 |
-10.3% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
09/01/09 |
$102.82 |
09/17/09 |
$107.15 |
2.3 |
+4.2% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
09/01/09 |
$102.82 |
09/16/09 |
$107.00 |
2.1 |
+4.1% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
08/28/09 |
$103.30 |
09/16/09 |
$107.00 |
2.7 |
+3.6% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
08/21/09 |
$103.02 |
09/16/09 |
$107.00 |
3.7 |
+3.9% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
08/21/09 |
$103.02 |
09/14/09 |
$104.17 |
3.4 |
+1.1% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
08/21/09 |
$103.02 |
09/02/09 |
$100.31 |
1.7 |
-2.6% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
08/20/09 |
$101.13 |
09/02/09 |
$100.31 |
1.9 |
-0.8% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
08/05/09 |
$100.56 |
09/02/09 |
$100.31 |
4.0 |
-0.2% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
08/05/09 |
$100.56 |
09/01/09 |
$100.39 |
3.9 |
-0.2% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/16/09 |
$93.40 |
09/01/09 |
$100.39 |
6.7 |
+7.5% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/14/09 |
$90.55 |
09/01/09 |
$100.39 |
7.0 |
+10.9% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/13/09 |
$89.49 |
09/01/09 |
$100.39 |
7.1 |
+12.2% |
| S X C Health Solutions |
SXCI |
08/06/09 |
$38.12 |
08/31/09 |
$40.89 |
3.6 |
+7.3% |
| Priceline.com Inc. |
PCLN |
08/13/09 |
$150.67 |
08/31/09 |
$153.65 |
2.6 |
+2.0% |
| Geokinetics Inc. |
GOK |
08/21/09 |
$16.91 |
08/31/09 |
$16.99 |
1.4 |
+0.4% |
| SmartHeat Inc. |
HEAT |
08/25/09 |
$9.51 |
08/28/09 |
$7.23 |
0.4 |
-23.9% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/13/09 |
$89.49 |
08/25/09 |
$103.60 |
6.1 |
+15.8% |
| Chindex International Inc. |
CHDX |
08/10/09 |
$15.62 |
08/21/09 |
$14.18 |
1.6 |
-9.2% |
| Longtop Financial Tech |
LFT |
08/11/09 |
$31.03 |
08/18/09 |
$25.83 |
1.0 |
-16.8% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/13/09 |
$89.49 |
08/14/09 |
$100.08 |
4.6 |
+11.8% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/13/09 |
$89.49 |
08/13/09 |
$101.07 |
4.4 |
+12.9% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/13/09 |
$89.49 |
08/11/09 |
$99.98 |
4.1 |
+11.7% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/09/09 |
$88.46 |
08/11/09 |
$99.98 |
4.7 |
+13.0% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/09/09 |
$88.46 |
08/10/09 |
$100.40 |
4.6 |
+13.5% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/09/09 |
$88.46 |
08/06/09 |
$100.07 |
4.0 |
+13.1% |
| TriQuint Semiconductor |
TQNT |
07/24/09 |
$6.96 |
08/05/09 |
$6.59 |
1.7 |
-5.4% |
| NVE Corp. |
NVEC |
07/23/09 |
$53.37 |
08/05/09 |
$54.46 |
1.9 |
+2.0% |
| JDA Software Group |
JDAS |
07/22/09 |
$21.52 |
08/05/09 |
$20.35 |
2.0 |
-5.4% |
| Hi-Tech Pharmacal Co. Inc. |
HITK |
07/15/09 |
$13.21 |
08/05/09 |
$14.67 |
3.0 |
+11.1% |
| Capella Education Co. |
CPLA |
07/29/09 |
$63.07 |
08/05/09 |
$63.09 |
1.0 |
+0.0% |
| American Superconductor |
AMSC |
07/30/09 |
$32.94 |
08/05/09 |
$32.11 |
0.9 |
-2.5% |
| Global Cash Access Holdings |
GCA |
07/17/09 |
$8.31 |
08/04/09 |
$9.00 |
2.6 |
+8.3% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/09/09 |
$88.46 |
07/30/09 |
$99.24 |
3.0 |
+12.2% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/09/09 |
$88.46 |
07/29/09 |
$97.31 |
2.9 |
+10.0% |
| VanceInfo Technologies Inc. |
VIT |
07/16/09 |
$12.79 |
07/23/09 |
$14.58 |
1.0 |
+14.0% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/09/09 |
$88.46 |
07/23/09 |
$97.80 |
2.0 |
+10.6% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/09/09 |
$88.46 |
07/22/09 |
$95.31 |
1.9 |
+7.7% |
* Buy and sell prices shown are net after commissions and fees. This means
that the gains/losses shown are also net after transaction expenses.
Subscription Information
Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen
Capital Management, Inc.
My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my
stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of
client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then,
third, I send out this newsletter.
Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com.
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Privacy Policy
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in strict confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it
with or sell it to others.
Disclaimers
All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of
risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's
ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be
profitable.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed
to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or
completeness.
Contact Us
The Deen's List
PO Box 30925
Santa Barbara, CA 93130
(800) 353-4990
deenslist@deencapital.com
Copyright © 2009 Deen Capital Management, Inc.
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