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The Deen's ListTM
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| Our goal since Oct. 2005: Outperform the S&P through up markets and down.
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| A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com)
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| Vol.7 #242 |
Saturday, September 26, 2009 |
8:49PM EDT |
Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter.
Weekly Status Report: Contents
Performance
Market Commentary
Open Positions
Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks
Subscription Information
Privacy Policy
Disclaimers
Contact Us
Performance
|
Deen Capital |
S&P 500 |
| Year-to-date as of September 25, 2009 |
+14.8% * |
+17.8% |
| 12 months (Sep 25, 2008 to Sep 25, 2009) |
+3.6% * |
-11.2% |
| 24 months (Sep 25, 2007 to Sep 25, 2009) |
-11.9% * |
-27.8% |
| 36 months (Sep 25, 2006 to Sep 25, 2009) |
+14.0% * |
-16.0% |
| 48 months (Sep 25, 2005 to Sep 25, 2009) |
+41.7% * |
-6.7% |
* An average of managed accounts, net after all commissions and fees.
Click here for more performance data.
Click here for information on managed accounts.
Market Commentary
Market Stance: BEARISH (since September 26, 2009)
Ah, now that's more like it!! Last week was very gratifying for Deen
Capital clients, especially in terms of my primary focus -- relative
performance. The S&P lost -2.2%, while Deen Capital accounts GAINED +0.3%.
But beware! My indicators turned overall bearish. When they end the week
that way, I almost always take heed and turn bearish. And so I have done.
Late Friday, I moved from 100% stocks to 41% stocks, 59% cash.
Market risk is unusually high right now. Last week's selling could be just
the start of a major correction. My emphasis now is on protecting capital,
avoiding losses.
My Three Primary Technical Indicators:
Prior week Now
---------- -------
NASDAQ Timing Model (Ver.10r): BULLISH BULLISH (1)
Last signal: BULLISH on Sep 10, 2009
Performance of Recent Stock Picks: +4.8 NEUTRAL -0.5 BEARISH (2)
Market Internals: 88% BULLISH 79% BEARISH (3)
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Market's Overall Technical Rating: BULLISH BEARISH
Stocks:Cash ratio (average): 100:0 41:59
(1) A proprietary computer model based on technical analysis of the NASDAQ
Composite.
(2) This number (from -10 to +10) is based on the performance of ALL my
recent stock picks (I actually buy only some of these). A positive number
means my recent stock picks are generally rising; a negative number means
they are generally falling. Even so, I consider a reading below +3.1 to be
bearish. I require a reading of +5.6 or better to call this indicator
bullish.
(3) This is the percentage of stocks ($8 and up) which are trading above
their 50-day moving average. The rating of this percentage (bullish,
bearish or neutral) is based on which way it's been moving recently -- up,
down or sideways.
-KD, Saturday, September 26, 2009
Open Positions
Model Portfolio
| Company Name |
Stock
Symbol |
Buy
Date |
NetBuy
Price* |
Current
Price |
Weeks
Held |
% of
Portfolio |
Gain
(Loss) |
| SmartHeat Inc. |
HEAT |
09/25/09 |
$11.68 |
$11.65 |
0.1 |
4.9% |
-0.3% |
| China TransInfo Tech. Corp. |
CTFO |
09/22/09 |
$8.52 |
$7.79 |
0.6 |
4.0% |
-8.5% |
| RINO International Corp. |
RINO |
09/17/09 |
$14.10 |
$17.31 |
1.3 |
6.1% |
+22.7% |
| Ulta Salon, Cosmetics |
ULTA |
09/16/09 |
$15.02 |
$15.63 |
1.4 |
5.2% |
+4.0% |
| Bio-Reference Labs, Inc. |
BRLI |
09/16/09 |
$34.54 |
$33.34 |
1.4 |
4.8% |
-3.5% |
| China Fire & Security Group |
CFSG |
09/14/09 |
$17.04 |
$18.89 |
1.7 |
5.4% |
+10.8% |
| Hi-Tech Pharmacal Co. Inc. |
HITK |
09/09/09 |
$21.14 |
$19.67 |
2.4 |
4.6% |
-7.0% |
| Zhongpin, Inc. |
HOGS |
09/08/09 |
$11.75 |
$14.78 |
2.6 |
6.1% |
+25.8% |
| Cash |
58.9% |
|
| Total |
100% |
|
* Buy prices shown are net after commissions and fees.
Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks
| Company Name |
Stock
Symbol |
Buy
Date |
NetBuy
Price* |
Sell
Date |
NetSell
Price* |
Weeks
Held |
Gain
(Loss)* |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
09/11/09 |
$104.83 |
09/25/09 |
$104.71 |
2.0 |
-0.1% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
09/10/09 |
$104.78 |
09/25/09 |
$104.71 |
2.1 |
-0.1% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
09/01/09 |
$102.82 |
09/25/09 |
$104.71 |
3.4 |
+1.8% |
| Ebix Inc. |
EBIX |
09/10/09 |
$52.53 |
09/22/09 |
$47.14 |
1.7 |
-10.3% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
09/01/09 |
$102.82 |
09/17/09 |
$107.15 |
2.3 |
+4.2% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
09/01/09 |
$102.82 |
09/16/09 |
$107.00 |
2.1 |
+4.1% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
08/28/09 |
$103.30 |
09/16/09 |
$107.00 |
2.7 |
+3.6% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
08/21/09 |
$103.02 |
09/16/09 |
$107.00 |
3.7 |
+3.9% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
08/21/09 |
$103.02 |
09/14/09 |
$104.17 |
3.4 |
+1.1% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
08/21/09 |
$103.02 |
09/02/09 |
$100.31 |
1.7 |
-2.6% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
08/20/09 |
$101.13 |
09/02/09 |
$100.31 |
1.9 |
-0.8% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
08/05/09 |
$100.56 |
09/02/09 |
$100.31 |
4.0 |
-0.2% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
08/05/09 |
$100.56 |
09/01/09 |
$100.39 |
3.9 |
-0.2% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/16/09 |
$93.40 |
09/01/09 |
$100.39 |
6.7 |
+7.5% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/14/09 |
$90.55 |
09/01/09 |
$100.39 |
7.0 |
+10.9% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/13/09 |
$89.49 |
09/01/09 |
$100.39 |
7.1 |
+12.2% |
| S X C Health Solutions |
SXCI |
08/06/09 |
$38.12 |
08/31/09 |
$40.89 |
3.6 |
+7.3% |
| Priceline.com Inc. |
PCLN |
08/13/09 |
$150.67 |
08/31/09 |
$153.65 |
2.6 |
+2.0% |
| Geokinetics Inc. |
GOK |
08/21/09 |
$16.91 |
08/31/09 |
$16.99 |
1.4 |
+0.4% |
| SmartHeat Inc. |
HEAT |
08/25/09 |
$9.51 |
08/28/09 |
$7.23 |
0.4 |
-23.9% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/13/09 |
$89.49 |
08/25/09 |
$103.60 |
6.1 |
+15.8% |
| Chindex International Inc. |
CHDX |
08/10/09 |
$15.62 |
08/21/09 |
$14.18 |
1.6 |
-9.2% |
| Longtop Financial Tech |
LFT |
08/11/09 |
$31.03 |
08/18/09 |
$25.83 |
1.0 |
-16.8% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/13/09 |
$89.49 |
08/14/09 |
$100.08 |
4.6 |
+11.8% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/13/09 |
$89.49 |
08/13/09 |
$101.07 |
4.4 |
+12.9% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/13/09 |
$89.49 |
08/11/09 |
$99.98 |
4.1 |
+11.7% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/09/09 |
$88.46 |
08/11/09 |
$99.98 |
4.7 |
+13.0% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/09/09 |
$88.46 |
08/10/09 |
$100.40 |
4.6 |
+13.5% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/09/09 |
$88.46 |
08/06/09 |
$100.07 |
4.0 |
+13.1% |
| TriQuint Semiconductor |
TQNT |
07/24/09 |
$6.96 |
08/05/09 |
$6.59 |
1.7 |
-5.4% |
| NVE Corp. |
NVEC |
07/23/09 |
$53.37 |
08/05/09 |
$54.46 |
1.9 |
+2.0% |
| JDA Software Group |
JDAS |
07/22/09 |
$21.52 |
08/05/09 |
$20.35 |
2.0 |
-5.4% |
| Hi-Tech Pharmacal Co. Inc. |
HITK |
07/15/09 |
$13.21 |
08/05/09 |
$14.67 |
3.0 |
+11.1% |
| Capella Education Co. |
CPLA |
07/29/09 |
$63.07 |
08/05/09 |
$63.09 |
1.0 |
+0.0% |
| American Superconductor |
AMSC |
07/30/09 |
$32.94 |
08/05/09 |
$32.11 |
0.9 |
-2.5% |
| Global Cash Access Holdings |
GCA |
07/17/09 |
$8.31 |
08/04/09 |
$9.00 |
2.6 |
+8.3% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/09/09 |
$88.46 |
07/30/09 |
$99.24 |
3.0 |
+12.2% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/09/09 |
$88.46 |
07/29/09 |
$97.31 |
2.9 |
+10.0% |
| VanceInfo Technologies Inc. |
VIT |
07/16/09 |
$12.79 |
07/23/09 |
$14.58 |
1.0 |
+14.0% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/09/09 |
$88.46 |
07/23/09 |
$97.80 |
2.0 |
+10.6% |
| S&P Depositary Receipt |
SPY |
07/09/09 |
$88.46 |
07/22/09 |
$95.31 |
1.9 |
+7.7% |
| APAC Customer Services, Inc. |
APAC |
06/29/09 |
$5.05 |
07/10/09 |
$4.87 |
1.6 |
-3.5% |
| Chinacast Education Corp. |
CAST |
07/01/09 |
$7.26 |
07/07/09 |
$6.56 |
0.9 |
-9.7% |
| Atlantic Tele-Network |
ATNI |
06/18/09 |
$38.58 |
07/07/09 |
$36.59 |
2.7 |
-5.1% |
| STEC, Inc. |
STEC |
05/12/09 |
$13.66 |
07/07/09 |
$23.45 |
8.0 |
+71.7% |
| ArcSight, Inc. |
ARST |
06/24/09 |
$16.90 |
07/06/09 |
$15.97 |
1.7 |
-5.5% |
| Chindex International Inc. |
CHDX |
06/25/09 |
$12.70 |
07/06/09 |
$11.35 |
1.6 |
-10.6% |
| Applied Signal Tech |
APSG |
06/04/09 |
$25.60 |
07/02/09 |
$23.83 |
4.0 |
-6.9% |
| Riverbed Technology |
RVBD |
05/11/09 |
$16.92 |
06/29/09 |
$22.68 |
7.0 |
+34.0% |
* Buy and sell prices shown are net after commissions and fees. This means
that the gains/losses shown are also net after transaction expenses.
Subscription Information
Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen
Capital Management, Inc.
My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my
stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of
client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then,
third, I send out this newsletter.
Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com.
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This newsletter is free to managed account clients. For a limited time,
it is also free to all interested parties.
Privacy Policy
Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held
in strict confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it
with or sell it to others.
Disclaimers
All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of
risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's
ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be
profitable.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed
to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or
completeness.
Contact Us
The Deen's List
PO Box 30925
Santa Barbara, CA 93130
(800) 353-4990
deenslist@deencapital.com
Copyright © 2009 Deen Capital Management, Inc.
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