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Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter. Market Stance: BULLISH (since September 10, 2009) Contents
Performance
* An average of managed accounts, net after all commissions and fees. Click here for more performance data. Click here for information on managed accounts. Bought China TransInfo Tech. Corp. (CTFO)
* Buy prices shown are net after commissions and fees. Today, Tuesday, September 22, 2009, I bought CTFO, first for client accounts, then for my personal accounts. China TransInfo Technology Corp. provides public transportation information systems technology and solutions in China. Here's why I bought this stock: + Technical: The stock is in a strong uptrend, and yesterday had a rather dramatic selloff/rebound. The stock was down sharply in the first half hour, then spent the rest of the recovering. It closed higher. Volume was extremely heavy -- about 7 times average and a new 12-month record. + This is a little-known stock, but it is on the verge of being discovered. Average daily volume on this stock has been steadily increasing in recent months -- mostly on the buy side. + Excellent recent sales growth. Here are the quarterly year-to-year sales growth rates from the last four quarters, in chronological order: +137%, +176%, +40%, and, most recently, for the quarter ended June 30, +87% to $9.6 million. + Mostly excellent recent earnings-per-share growth. Here are the quarterly EPS figures for the last eight quarters:
Sep 08 vs Sep 07: 14c vs 10c Dec 08 vs Dec 07: 19c vs 4c Mar 09 vs Mar 08: 7c vs 9c Jun 09 vs Jun 08: 13c vs 11c + Strong and rising earnings-per-share estimates: According to recent data from First Call, the consensus earnings estimate for 2009 is 59c, revised upward from 57c 90 days ago (and up from 2008 actual earnings of 53c); and the consensus estimate for 2010 is 82c, revised upward from 75c 90 days ago. + Valuation: At 10 times next year's estimated earnings, the stock is very attractively priced. (The 5-year projected growth rate is not available.) + History of earnings surprises: This company has reported earnings-per-share at least a penny above estimates in three of the past four quarters. Most recently, for the quarter ended June 30, they "beat the Street" by 3c. + The company's industry group ("Computer Software - Enterprise") is ranked #53 for relative strength out of 197 industry groups tracked by Investor's Business Daily. This ranking changes daily, and it has been generally rising over recent weeks and months. + The stock's 200-day moving average is rising, indicating a long-term uptrend. -KD, Tuesday, September 22, 2009
* Buy and sell prices shown are net after commissions and fees. This means that the gain/loss shown is also net after transaction expenses. Today, Tuesday, September 22, 2009, I sold EBIX, first for client accounts, then for my personal accounts. I had a sell signal from my proprietary StockSell Program at yesterday's close. This is based purely on technical considerations. -KD, Tuesday, September 22, 2009 Model Portfolio
* Buy prices shown are net after commissions and fees. ** Current prices are at least 20 minutes old. Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc. My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter. Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com. To subscribe or unsubscribe, include the word "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" in the Subject line. This newsletter is free to managed account clients. For a limited time, it is also free to all interested parties. Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in strict confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others. All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.
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