The Deen's ListTM
A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com)
Vol.5 #321 Friday, December 21, 2007 3:17PM ET

Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter.

Market Stance: BEARISH (since December 14, 2007)

  Contents

Year-To-Date Performance
Bought Google, Inc. (GOOG)
Open Positions
Subscription Information
Privacy Policy
Disclaimers
Contact Us

  Year-To-Date Performance

Year-To-Date as of December 20, 2007

Deen Capital+27.5%*
S&P 500+4.8%

* An average of managed accounts, net after commissions and fees. Individual account results may vary. See also www.deencapital.com/perform.htm. For information on managed accounts, see www.deencapital.com/mgdaccts.htm.

  Bought Google, Inc. (GOOG)

Net buy price in managed accounts* $697.17
Most recent close (Dec 20) $689.69
Net change (based on net buy price) +$7.48
Today's volume as of 3:02pm ET 3.8 million ($2651.5 million)
Average daily volume 7.1 million ($4920.7 million)
This year's earnings-per-share $15.57 (est)
Next year's earnings-per-share $20.69 (est)
P/E using next year's earnings 33.7 (est)
Earnings growth rate, next 5 years 34% per year (est)
Corporate Headquarters Mountain View, CA
Web site http://www.google.com

* The "Net buy price" is the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares.

Today, Friday, December 21, 2007, I bought GOOG, first for client accounts, then for my personal accounts. Google Inc. provides a web based search engine through its Google.com website. They offer a wide range of search options, including web, image, groups, directory, and news searches.

This stock is a component of the IBD 100, the S&P 500, the S&P 100, and the NASDAQ 100 Indexes. ("IBD" = "Investor's Business Daily")

Here's why I bought this stock:

+ My market indicators continue to improve. I'm not quite ready to turn bullish, but getting very close.

+ This is arguably THE premier growth stock in today's market. And yet, even at $700, it is not at all expensive (read on...).

+ Technical buy signal: Earlier this week, the stock bounced off of its rising 50-day moving average.

+ Excellent recent sales growth. Here are the quarterly year-to-year sales growth rates from the last four quarters, in chronological order: +67%, +63%, +58%, and, most recently, for the quarter ended Sep 30, +57% to $4.231 billion.

+ Excellent recent earnings-per-share growth. Here are the quarterly EPS figures for the last eight quarters:

Dec 06 vs Dec 05: $3.18 vs $1.54
Mar 07 vs Mar 06: $3.68 vs $2.29
Jun 07 vs Jun 06: $3.56 vs $2.49
Sep 07 vs Sep 06: $3.91 vs $2.62

+ Rising earnings-per-share estimates: According to recent data from First Call, the consensus earnings estimate for 2007 is $15.57, revised upward from $15.26 90 days ago (and up from 2006 actual earnings of $10.59); and the consensus estimate for 2008 is $20.69, revised upward from $19.53 90 days ago.

+ Valuation: Here's a riddle for you: How can a $700 stock be attractively valued? Answer: When next year's earnings are estimated at $20.69 (forward P/E 34) and the 5-year annualized earnings growth rate is 34%, what's how!

+ History of earnings surprises: This company has reported earnings at least 13c above estimates in three of the past four quarters. Most recently, for the quarter ended Sep 30, earnings came in 13c above consensus.

+ The company's industry group ("Internet Content") is ranked #5 for relative strength out of 197 industry groups tracked by Investor's Business Daily. This ranking changes daily, and it has been fairly stable over recent weeks and months.

+ The stock's 200-day moving average is rising, indicating a long-term uptrend.

-KD, December 21, 2007

  Open Positions

Company Name Stock
Symbol
Buy
Date
NetBuy
Price*
Current
Price**
Weeks
Held
Gain
(Loss)
Progress SoftwarePRGS12/21/07$34.01$33.500.0-1.5%
Google, Inc.GOOG12/21/07$697.17$697.020.0-0.0%
Quicksilver Res Inc.KWK12/20/07$57.90$59.580.1+2.9%
B/E Aerospace Inc.BEAV12/19/07$51.55$52.850.3+2.5%
Apple, Inc.AAPL12/19/07$183.94$193.240.3+5.1%
Best Buy Co. Inc.BBY12/18/07$51.47$52.780.4+2.6%
Microsoft Corp.MSFT12/05/07$33.93$35.882.3+5.8%
J. Crew Group Inc.JCG11/30/07$47.38$49.833.0+5.2%

* Net buy prices include commissions.

** Current prices are at least 20 minutes old.

  Subscription Information

Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc.

My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter.

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  Disclaimers

All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.

  Contact Us

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