Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter. Weekly Status Report: Contents
Year-To-Date Performance
* An average of managed accounts, net after commissions and fees. Individual account results may vary. See also www.deencapital.com/perform.htm. For information on managed accounts, see www.deencapital.com/mgdaccts.htm. Market Stance: BEARISH (since October 7, 2005)This was an unusually volatile week, and a disappointing one for Deen Capital clients. The market averages posted gains by week's end, but our accounts posted a loss. This was largely due to the fact that small-cap stocks under-performed their large-cap brethren this week. My technical indicators improved slightly from overall bearish to overall neutral: * My NASDAQ Timing Model (Ver.10q) remains on its October 19 bullish signal. * My Performance-of-Recent-Stock-Picks Index fell ever so slightly, and remains bearish. * 36% of stocks $8 and up are now trading above their 50-day moving average, versus 30% a week ago. This is still low, but it is enough of an improvement to re-classify this indicator from bearish to neutral. We do have seasonality working in our favor now, as the November through January time frame represents the best three month period for stocks, historically. Also, rising interest rates, historically a bad thing for stocks, just might be a good thing this time around. Let me explain. Rising interest rates make bonds more attractive to investors, but they make real estate less attractive. Historically, bonds represented the primary competition to stocks for investor dollars. In recent years, however, real estate has been by far the investment of choice. The runaway boom in real estate has been, in my view, the number one reason that stocks have gone nowhere in recent years. People want to put their money where the action is, and that's real estate. Now, with mortgage rates on the rise and housing prices sky-high, real estate is becoming less and less attractive as an investment. Over the next several months and years, I expect to see the pendulum begin to swing the other way, away from real estate and towards stocks. I remain nominally bearish, but close to turning bullish. This is a difficult-to-time see-saw market, so I have not been making big moves in either direction. -KD, October 28, 2005
* Net buy prices shown are the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks
* Net buy (sell) prices shown are the total net purchase cost (proceeds) after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. The Gain(Loss) is therefore net after commissions. Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc. My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter. Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com. To subscribe or unsubscribe, include the word "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" in the Subject line. This newsletter is free to managed account clients. For a limited time, it is also free to all interested parties. Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in strict confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others. All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.
Ken Deen Copyright © 2005 Deen Capital Management, Inc. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||