The Deen's ListTM
A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com)
Vol.3 #248 Saturday, October 8, 2005

Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter.

  Weekly Status Report: Contents

Year-To-Date Performance
Market Commentary
Open Positions
Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks
Subscription Information
Privacy Policy
Disclaimers

  Year-To-Date Performance

Year-To-Date as of October 7, 2005

Deen Capital-3.3%*
S&P 500-1.3%

* An average of managed accounts, net after commissions and fees. Individual account results may vary. See also www.deencapital.com/perform.htm. For information on managed accounts, see www.deencapital.com/mgdaccts.htm.

  Market Commentary

Market Stance: BEARISH (since October 7, 2005)

Last week saw a significant market break, apparently driven by slowing demand for petroleum and hawkish comments from an FOMC member. On Thursday, the Dow, S&P 500, and NASDAQ all broke below short-term technical support, closing at 3-month lows. Friday saw only a trivial bounce.

Two of my three technical indicators shifted from bullish to bearish last week. And when I say bearish, I mean very bearish. My Performance-of-Recent-Stock-Picks Index plummeted from +5.7 all the way down to -4.2 (scale -10 to +10). The percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day moving average is now 35%, down from 49% a week ago. This, and Thursday's 32%, are the lowest readings of this metric since May.

My indicators are flip-flopping more than usual, but there was nothing indecisive about last week's action. Volume was heavy, and the downward price moves were significant.

Managed accounts are now mostly in cash, and less volatile than the S&P.

Next week, third quarter earnings season begins in earnest, and we will get to see for the first time how Katrina and $3 gas have affected corporate earnings. This will be interesting.

-KD, October 8, 2005

  Open Positions

Company Name Stock
Symbol
Buy
Date
NetBuy
Price*
Current
Price
Weeks
Held
Gain
(Loss)
Comtech Telecomm. Corp.CMTL09/22/05$40.73$41.332.1+1.5%
Ventiv Health Inc.VTIV09/20/05$26.44$25.522.4-3.5%
Powerwave Technologies, Inc.PWAV09/15/05$12.33$12.043.1-2.4%
Biovail Corp.BVF09/09/05$22.24$23.264.0+4.6%
Tiffany & Co.TIF08/31/05$37.40$39.485.3+5.6%
NVIDIA Corp.NVDA08/30/05$30.01$33.065.4+10.2%
The Sportsman's Guide, Inc.SGDE07/19/05$21.42$26.4411.4+23.4%
Average4.8+5.6%

* Net buy prices shown are the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares.

  Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks

Company Name Stock
Symbol
Buy
Date
NetBuy
Price*
Sell
Date
NetSell
Price*
Weeks
Held
Gain
(Loss)
Getty Images Inc.GYI07/27/05$79.7810/06/05$80.0910.1+0.4%
Tidewater Inc.TDW08/31/05$45.0510/06/05$44.935.1-0.3%
PetMed Express Inc.PETS09/01/05$10.4710/06/05$10.575.0+0.9%
Petrohawk Energy Corp.HAWK09/19/05$13.6510/06/05$12.482.4-8.6%
Unit Corp.UNT09/29/05$56.0010/06/05$48.611.0-13.2%
Quanex Corp.NX09/29/05$65.6410/06/05$60.211.0-8.3%
Amgen Inc.AMGN07/21/05$80.0010/05/05$78.9310.9-1.3%
Hologic Inc.HOLX07/27/05$43.7909/21/05$50.488.0+15.3%
ZYGO Corp.ZIGO08/26/05$12.4809/21/05$13.903.7+11.4%
Neoware Systems Inc.NWRE09/02/05$13.1409/21/05$15.082.7+14.8%
Psychiatric Solutions Inc.PSYS09/06/05$49.5109/21/05$51.432.1+3.9%
SFBC International Inc.SFCC09/09/05$44.4809/21/05$42.521.7-4.4%
NetEase.com Inc.NTES08/04/05$74.3509/20/05$79.086.7+6.4%
Martin Marietta MaterialsMLM09/06/05$73.0809/20/05$69.992.0-4.2%
Seacor Holdings Inc.CKH08/10/05$70.3609/16/05$66.995.3-4.8%
Genzyme Corp.GENZ07/14/05$65.4508/25/05$68.536.0+4.7%
Forward Industries Inc.FORD07/25/05$23.6608/24/05$23.844.3+0.8%
Lufkin Industries Inc.LUFK07/11/05$41.4508/17/05$43.125.3+4.0%
Headwaters Inc.HW08/12/05$43.0508/17/05$39.000.7-9.4%
Pioneer Natural Resources CoPXD08/15/05$45.2508/17/05$43.410.3-4.1%
Cascade Corp.CAE06/16/05$42.8208/11/05$41.818.0-2.4%
LKQ Corp.LKQX05/17/05$22.6608/10/05$27.9112.1+23.1%
Best Buy Co. Inc.BBY06/14/05$44.2808/10/05$49.228.1+11.2%
Resources Connection, Inc.RECN07/13/05$29.6108/10/05$28.714.0-3.0%
SI InternationalSINT07/26/05$31.4408/10/05$30.312.1-3.6%
Click Commerce Inc.CKCM05/06/05$15.3008/09/05$19.0713.6+24.6%
Aldila Inc.ALDA08/02/05$27.0008/09/05$25.551.0-5.4%
Pharmaceutical Prod DevPPDI07/14/05$57.9308/08/05$55.553.6-4.1%
Robert Half InternationalRHI07/25/05$33.8208/08/05$32.622.0-3.5%
Genesis Microchip Inc.GNSS07/25/05$25.3008/08/05$24.022.0-5.1%
Jabil Circuit Inc.JBL06/28/05$31.3008/05/05$30.455.4-2.7%
American Home Mtg Inv CorpAHM07/19/05$38.4008/05/05$35.722.4-7.0%
MicroStrategy Inc.MSTR07/29/05$79.1108/05/05$74.311.0-6.1%
Quality Systems Inc.QSII07/08/05$52.3208/03/05$62.523.7+19.5%
Stanley WorksSWK07/19/05$50.7808/01/05$48.481.9-4.5%
Grey Wolf Inc.GW06/17/05$7.4007/27/05$7.575.7+2.3%
Empire ResourcesERS06/29/05$9.9607/22/05$11.193.3+12.4%
Epicor Software Corp.EPIC07/20/05$15.9907/22/05$14.610.3-8.6%
Superior Energy Svcs Inc.SPN07/06/05$19.3407/19/05$18.821.9-2.7%
Guess? Inc.GES07/08/05$19.6107/15/05$19.301.0-1.6%
Ctrip.com InternationalCTRP07/05/05$55.0807/13/05$50.731.1-7.9%
Average4.1+0.7%

* Net buy (sell) prices shown are the total net purchase cost (proceeds) after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. The Gain(Loss) is therefore net after commissions.

  Subscription Information

Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc.

My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter.

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  Privacy Policy

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  Disclaimers

All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.

 

Ken Deen
Deen Capital Management, Inc.
PO Box 30925
Santa Barbara, CA 93130
(805) 682-1870
deenslist@deencapital.com

Copyright © 2005 Deen Capital Management, Inc.