Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter. Market Stance: BEARISH (since September 23, 2005)Contents
Year-To-Date Performance
* An average of managed accounts, net after commissions and fees. Individual account results may vary. See also www.deencapital.com/perform.htm. For information on managed accounts, see www.deencapital.com/mgdaccts.htm.
* The "Net buy price" is the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. Today, Thursday, September 29, 2005, I bought UNT, first for client accounts, then for my personal accounts. Unit Corp., through its subsidiaries, contracts to drill onshore oil and natural gas wells, as well as develops, acquires, and produces oil and natural gas properties. The Company's operations are located primarily in the Anadarko and Arkoma Basins, as well as the south Texas and Permian Basins. Unit also has producing properties in other states and Canada. This stock is a component of the S&P 600 SmallCap and the IBD 85-85 Index. ("IBD" = "Investor's Business Daily") Here's why I bought this stock: + I'm bearish overall, but bullish on energy stocks. + Breakout: Yesterday, Wed Sep 28, the stock was up $2.91, or 5.6%, $55.04, on heavy volume of 1.4 million shares, more than 3x average. This price jump was a breakout from a seven-week trading range to an all-time high. + Excellent recent sales growth: Here are the quarterly year-to-year sales growth rates from the last four quarters, in chronological order: +84%, +94%, +69%, and, most recently, for the quarter ended June 30, +67% to $189.9 million. + Excellent recent earnings-per-share growth: Here are the quarterly EPS figures for the last eight quarters: Sep 04 vs Sep 03: 49c vs 29c Dec 04 vs Dec 03: 65c vs 25c Mar 05 vs Mar 04: 67c vs 34c Jun 05 vs Jun 04: 86c vs 44c + Sharply rising earnings-per-share estimates: According to recent data from First Call, the consensus earnings estimate for 2005 is $3.68, revised upward from $3.08 90 days ago (and up from 2004 actual earnings of $1.92); and the consensus estimate for 2006 is $2.66, revised upward from $3.41 90 days ago. + Valuation: At 12 times next year's estimated earnings and a projected 5-year annualized earnings growth rate of 35%, the stock is very attractively priced. + History of earnings surprises: This company has reported earnings at least a penny ahead of estimates in each of three of the past four quarters. The most recently reported quarter, ended June 30, was 12c ahead. + The company's industry group ("Oil&Gas - Drilling") is ranked #19 for relative strength out of 197 industry groups tracked by Investor's Business Daily. This ranking changes daily, and it has been generally rising over recent weeks and months. + The stock's 200-day moving average is rising, indicating a long-term uptrend. -KD, September 29, 2005
* Net buy prices shown are the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. ** Current prices are at least 20 minutes old. Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc. My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter. Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com. To subscribe or unsubscribe, include the word "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" in the Subject line. This newsletter is free to managed account clients. For a limited time, it is also free to all interested parties. Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in strict confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others. All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.
Ken Deen Copyright © 2005 Deen Capital Management, Inc. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||