The Deen's ListTM
A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com)
Vol.3 #235 Wednesday, September 21, 2005 10:16AM ET

Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter.

Market Stance: BULLISH (since September 6, 2005)

  Contents

Year-To-Date Performance
Sold Neoware Systems Inc. (NWRE)
Sold Psychiatric Solutions Inc. (PSYS)
Sold SFBC International Inc. (SFCC)
Open Positions
Subscription Information
Privacy Policy
Disclaimers

  Year-To-Date Performance

Year-To-Date as of September 20, 2005

Deen Capital-0.3%*
S&P 500+0.8%

* An average of managed accounts, net after commissions and fees. Individual account results may vary. See also www.deencapital.com/perform.htm. For information on managed accounts, see www.deencapital.com/mgdaccts.htm.

  Sold Neoware Systems Inc. (NWRE)

Net sell price in managed accounts* $15.08
Date(s) bought Sep 2 2005
Net buy price in managed accounts* $13.14
Holding period 2.7 weeks
Gain/loss in managed accounts +14.8% (after commissions)

* The net buy (sell) price is the total net cost (proceeds) after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares.

The market has taken a sharp turn for the worse since yesterday afternoon when the Fed raised interest rates yet again. That was expected, but what has investors rattled is the Fed's policy statement, which virtually ignored the economic effects of the Gulf Coast disaster. My technical indicators turned overall bearish yesterday (one bullish, two bearish).

On the one hand, I'm not changing my stance just yet. I want to see if these two bearish indicators are still bearish on Friday afternoon. These two indicators (my Performance-of-Recent-Stock-Picks Index and the percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day moving average) tend to flip-flop more often than my bullish indicator (NASDAQ Timing Model). I therefore pay attention to them mainly at the end of each week, more or less ignoring mid-week fluctuations.

On the other hand, managed accounts were about 1.5 times as volatile as the S&P 500 going into today. Under present circumstances, where there's a higher-than-normal risk that I may be turning bearish in a few days, I think it prudent to take some chips off the table. Pursuant to this end, I chose to sell the three stocks which, this morning, were falling the hardest on the heaviest volume (NWRE, PSYS, SFCC). Our accounts are now about 1.1 times as volatile as the S&P 500. That's better, and I may, perhaps, do more pre-emptive selling later today.

-KD, September 21, 2005

  Sold Psychiatric Solutions Inc. (PSYS)

Net sell price in managed accounts* $51.43
Date(s) bought Sep 6 2005
Net buy price in managed accounts* $49.52
Holding period 2.1 weeks
Gain/loss in managed accounts +3.9% (after commissions)

* The net buy (sell) price is the total net cost (proceeds) after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares.

The market has taken a sharp turn for the worse since yesterday afternoon when the Fed raised interest rates yet again. That was expected, but what has investors rattled is the Fed's policy statement, which virtually ignored the economic effects of the Gulf Coast disaster. My technical indicators turned overall bearish yesterday (one bullish, two bearish).

On the one hand, I'm not changing my stance just yet. I want to see if these two bearish indicators are still bearish on Friday afternoon. These two indicators (my Performance-of-Recent-Stock-Picks Index and the percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day moving average) tend to flip-flop more often than my bullish indicator (NASDAQ Timing Model). I therefore pay attention to them mainly at the end of each week, more or less ignoring mid-week fluctuations.

On the other hand, managed accounts were about 1.5 times as volatile as the S&P 500 going into today. Under present circumstances, where there's a higher-than-normal risk that I may be turning bearish in a few days, I think it prudent to take some chips off the table. Pursuant to this end, I chose to sell the three stocks which, this morning, were falling the hardest on the heaviest volume (NWRE, PSYS, SFCC). Our accounts are now about 1.1 times as volatile as the S&P 500. That's better, and I may, perhaps, do more pre-emptive selling later today.

-KD, September 21, 2005

  Sold SFBC International Inc. (SFCC)

Net sell price in managed accounts* $42.52
Date(s) bought Sep 9 2005
Net buy price in managed accounts* $44.49
Holding period 1.7 weeks
Gain/loss in managed accounts -4.4% (after commissions)

* The net buy (sell) price is the total net cost (proceeds) after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares.

The market has taken a sharp turn for the worse since yesterday afternoon when the Fed raised interest rates yet again. That was expected, but what has investors rattled is the Fed's policy statement, which virtually ignored the economic effects of the Gulf Coast disaster. My technical indicators turned overall bearish yesterday (one bullish, two bearish).

On the one hand, I'm not changing my stance just yet. I want to see if these two bearish indicators are still bearish on Friday afternoon. These two indicators (my Performance-of-Recent-Stock-Picks Index and the percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day moving average) tend to flip-flop more often than my bullish indicator (NASDAQ Timing Model). I therefore pay attention to them mainly at the end of each week, more or less ignoring mid-week fluctuations.

On the other hand, managed accounts were about 1.5 times as volatile as the S&P 500 going into today. Under present circumstances, where there's a higher-than-normal risk that I may be turning bearish in a few days, I think it prudent to take some chips off the table. Pursuant to this end, I chose to sell the three stocks which, this morning, were falling the hardest on the heaviest volume (NWRE, PSYS, SFCC). Our accounts are now about 1.1 times as volatile as the S&P 500. That's better, and I may, perhaps, do more pre-emptive selling later today.

-KD, September 21, 2005

  Open Positions

Company Name Stock
Symbol
Buy
Date
NetBuy
Price*
Current
Price**
Weeks
Held
Gain
(Loss)
Ventiv Health Inc.VTIV09/20/05$26.44$25.930.1-1.9%
Petrohawk Energy Corp.HAWK09/19/05$13.65$14.060.3+3.0%
Powerwave Technologies, Inc.PWAV09/15/05$12.33$12.370.9+0.3%
Biovail Corp.BVF09/09/05$22.24$22.461.7+1.0%
PetMed Express Inc.PETS09/01/05$10.47$11.272.9+7.7%
Tiffany & Co.TIF08/31/05$37.40$36.283.0-3.0%
Tidewater Inc.TDW08/31/05$45.05$46.143.0+2.4%
NVIDIA Corp.NVDA08/30/05$30.01$33.343.1+11.1%
ZYGO Corp.ZIGO08/26/05$12.48$13.703.7+9.8%
Hologic Inc.HOLX07/27/05$43.79$50.898.0+16.2%
Getty Images Inc.GYI07/27/05$79.78$83.038.0+4.1%
Amgen Inc.AMGN07/21/05$80.00$85.678.9+7.1%
The Sportsman's Guide, Inc.SGDE07/19/05$21.42$26.619.1+24.2%
Average4.1+6.3%

* Net buy prices shown are the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares.

** Current prices are at least 20 minutes old.

  Subscription Information

Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc.

My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter.

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  Privacy Policy

Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in strict confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others.

  Disclaimers

All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.

 

Ken Deen
Deen Capital Management, Inc.
PO Box 30925
Santa Barbara, CA 93130
(805) 682-1870
deenslist@deencapital.com

Copyright © 2005 Deen Capital Management, Inc.