Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter. Market Stance: BEARISH (since August 10, 2005)Contents
Year-To-Date Performance
* An average of managed accounts, net after commissions and fees. Individual account results may vary. See also www.deencapital.com/perform.htm. For information on managed accounts, see www.deencapital.com/mgdaccts.htm. Bought Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (MLM)
* The "Net buy price" is the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. Today, Tuesday, September 6, 2005, I bought MLM, first for client accounts, then for my personal accounts. Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. produces aggregates for the construction industry, including highways, infrastructure, commercial, and residential. The Company also manufactures and markets magnesia-based products, including heat-resistant refractory products for the steel industry, chemical products for industrial and environmental uses, and dolomitic lime. This stock is a component of the S&P MidCap 400 Index. Here's why I bought this stock: + There's a very good possibility that I'll be turning bullish later today or tomorrow, on the strength of my three primary technical indicators. + Near-Breakout: The price movement today represents a near-breakout from a six-week trading range. Recent heavy-volume buying leads me to suspect that a true breakout is just around the corner. (A close above $73.53 would be a "true breakout".) + Accelerating recent sales growth: Here are the quarterly year-to-year sales growth rates from the last four quarters, in chronological order: +2%, +3%, +15%, and, most recently, for the quarter ended June 30, +18% to $546.4 million. + Excellent recent earnings-per-share growth: Here are the quarterly EPS figures for the last eight quarters: Sep 04 vs Sep 03: $1.10 vs $0.93 Dec 04 vs Dec 03: $0.73 vs $0.68 Mar 05 vs Mar 04: $0.15 vs ($0.08) Jun 05 vs Jun 04: $1.30 vs $0.93 + Rising earnings-per-share estimates: According to recent data from First Call, the consensus earnings estimate for 2005 is $3.65, revised upward from $3.28 90 days ago (and up from 2004 actual earnings of $2.67); and the consensus estimate for 2006 is $4.04, revised upward from $3.68 90 days ago. + Valuation: At 18 times next year's estimated earnings and a projected 5-year annualized earnings growth rate of 15%, the stock is moderately priced. + History of earnings surprises: This company has reported earnings at least a penny ahead of estimates in each of the past four quarters. + The company's industry group ("Bldg - Cement/Concrt/Ag") is ranked #46 for relative strength out of 197 industry groups tracked by Investor's Business Daily. This ranking changes daily, and it has been generally rising over recent weeks and months. This group is the second-strongest group in today's trading session, no doubt in anticipation of a post-Katrina construction boom along the Gulf Coast. + The stock's 200-day moving average is rising, indicating a long-term uptrend. -KD, September 6, 2005
* Net buy prices shown are the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. ** Current prices are at least 20 minutes old. Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc. My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter. Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com. To subscribe or unsubscribe, include the word "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" in the Subject line. This newsletter is free to managed account clients. For a limited time, it is also free to all interested parties. Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in strict confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others. All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.
Ken Deen Copyright © 2005 Deen Capital Management, Inc. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||