The Deen's ListTM
A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com)
Vol.2 #313 Friday, December 24, 2004

Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter.

  Weekly Status Report: Contents

Year-To-Date Performance
Market Commentary
Open Positions
Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks
Subscription Information
Privacy Policy
Disclaimers

  Year-To-Date Performance

Year-To-Date as of December 23, 2004

Deen Capital+4.3%*
S&P 500+8.8%

* An average of managed accounts, net after commissions and fees. Individual account results may vary. See also www.deencapital.com/perform.htm. For information on managed accounts, see www.deencapital.com/mgdaccts.htm.

  Market Commentary

Market Stance: BULLISH (since December 15, 2004)

This was an excellent week, with the market averages up nicely, and, more especially, with Deen Capital clients doubling the gain of the NASDAQ Composite. (+1.2% for the NASDAQ versus +2.4% for the average Deen Capital account.)

That's a strong showing, especially so given that we started the week 64% in cash.

And yet I am still concerned about a possible market top here. I view the January 2004 peak of 2054 as a key area for the NASDAQ Composite. So far, the NASDAQ has topped that peak by only a few points. We haven't yet convincingly cleared this important resistance area.

I'm concerned, but not enough to sit on cash. After all, two out of my three primary market indicators are bullish:

- My NASDAQ Timing Model (Ver.10q) remains on its Dec 20 bearish signal.

+ My Performance-of-Recent-Stock-Picks Index returned to "green light" territory last week, rising from +5.3 to +5.8 (scale -10 to +10; the "green light" threshold is +5.6).

+ 82% of stocks $8 and up are trading above their 50-day moving average. This metric has now risen two weeks in a row, and now stands less than three points away from its highest reading of the year (that was 84.9% set on December 1).

For these reasons, then, it is my view that, on balance, the market is healthy, and that this is a good time to be in stocks.

As always, of course, my market stance is subject to change, as I re-evaluate market conditions daily.

My best wishes to you and yours for a safe, healthy and happy holidays.

-KD, December 24, 2004

  Open Positions

Company Name Stock
Symbol
Buy
Date
NetBuy
Price*
Current
Price
Weeks
Held
Gain
(Loss)
Resources Connection, Inc.RECN12/23/04$52.09$53.100.0+1.9%
MPS Group, Inc.MPS12/23/04$12.28$12.310.0+0.2%
Garmin Ltd.GRMN12/23/04$59.98$60.860.0+1.5%
DHB Industries Inc.DHB12/23/04$21.67$22.530.0+4.0%
Lennar Corp. Cl ALEN12/22/04$55.58$54.970.1-1.1%
Insteel Industries Inc.IIIN12/22/04$19.29$18.720.1-3.0%
Nextel Partners Inc.NXTP12/21/04$19.08$19.440.3+1.9%
Infocrossing Inc.IFOX12/21/04$17.45$17.200.3-1.4%
Aleris International Inc.ARS12/20/04$14.69$17.030.4+16.0%
Armor Holdings Inc.AH12/17/04$46.40$48.390.9+4.3%
Sirenza MicrodevicesSMDI12/16/04$5.91$6.571.0+11.2%
Olympic Steel Inc.ZEUS12/15/04$23.95$27.671.1+15.5%
IXYS Corp.SYXI12/15/04$10.15$10.051.1-1.0%
Standard Pacific Corp.SPF12/14/04$61.78$62.521.3+1.2%
Rofin-Sinar Tech Inc.RSTI12/13/04$38.28$41.091.4+7.3%
Average0.5+3.9%

* Net buy prices shown are the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares.

  Stocks Sold Over Past 13 Weeks

Company Name Stock
Symbol
Buy
Date
NetBuy
Price*
Sell
Date
NetSell
Price*
Weeks
Held
Gain
(Loss)
Intervoice-Brite Inc.INTV12/22/04$13.9612/23/04$13.740.1-1.6%
palmOne, Inc.PLMO12/13/04$43.9112/17/04$33.450.6-23.8%
KongZhong Corp.KONG12/07/04$11.1712/16/04$9.231.3-17.4%
KongZhong Corp.KONG12/14/04$10.0012/16/04$9.230.3-7.6%
PC Mall, Inc.MALL12/15/04$21.5912/16/04$20.540.1-4.8%
Monarch Casino & ResortMCRI10/27/04$27.1112/09/04$33.456.1+23.4%
NCI Building Systems Inc.NCS11/16/04$34.7212/09/04$37.633.3+8.4%
Bluegreen Corp.BXG11/23/04$14.6412/09/04$17.412.3+18.9%
China Yuchai Int'l Ltd.CYD12/02/04$17.5112/09/04$16.131.0-7.9%
Digital River Inc.DRIV09/13/04$27.4212/08/04$41.9612.3+53.0%
Infocrossing Inc.IFOX11/17/04$15.0512/08/04$16.753.0+11.3%
Innovative SolutionsISSC11/18/04$29.0212/08/04$29.682.9+2.2%
Rofin-Sinar Tech Inc.RSTI08/24/04$28.2812/07/04$37.5515.0+32.8%
DHB Industries Inc.DHB09/24/04$13.3812/07/04$17.9910.6+34.5%
Charles River Assoc Inc.CRAI09/30/04$38.1912/07/04$43.889.7+14.9%
M.D.C. Holdings Inc.MDC10/12/04$72.2812/07/04$76.408.0+5.7%
Sigmatel Inc.SGTL10/21/04$28.2812/07/04$34.876.7+23.3%
Nanometrics Inc.NANO11/02/04$14.7112/07/04$16.525.0+12.2%
NETGEAR, Inc.NTGR11/03/04$13.6812/07/04$17.294.9+26.4%
Rofin-Sinar Tech Inc.RSTI11/10/04$37.2212/07/04$37.553.9+0.9%
Excel Maritime CarriersEXM11/23/04$27.9112/07/04$32.812.0+17.6%
Sify Ltd. ADRSIFY11/24/04$6.8812/07/04$6.291.9-8.6%
United Therapeutics Corp.UTHR11/29/04$43.5412/07/04$42.321.1-2.8%
Accredited Home LendersLEND11/30/04$42.9312/07/04$44.911.0+4.6%
DHB Industries Inc.DHB12/01/04$18.6012/07/04$17.990.9-3.3%
Navarre Corp.NAVR09/21/04$16.6912/06/04$15.6910.9-6.0%
Navarre Corp.NAVR10/13/04$14.7212/06/04$15.697.7+6.6%
Navarre Corp.NAVR10/22/04$14.9912/06/04$15.696.4+4.7%
Navarre Corp.NAVR11/12/04$16.2612/06/04$15.693.4-3.5%
Diodes Inc.DIOD10/01/04$27.1912/01/04$23.978.7-11.8%
Diodes Inc.DIOD10/19/04$25.6512/01/04$23.976.1-6.6%
LCA Vision Inc.LCAV10/26/04$27.5812/01/04$33.675.1+22.1%
Diodes Inc.DIOD11/26/04$24.7712/01/04$23.970.7-3.2%
Littelfuse Inc.LFUS11/08/04$38.1911/30/04$38.823.1+1.6%
MicroStrategy Inc.MSTR10/27/04$63.3011/29/04$64.554.7+2.0%
Quiksilver Inc.ZQK09/13/04$25.7311/22/04$28.6210.0+11.2%
F5 Networks Inc.FFIV10/27/04$40.0811/22/04$39.903.7-0.4%
Amedisys Inc.AMED09/15/04$28.8411/17/04$31.639.0+9.7%
Dawson Geophysical Co.DWSN09/29/04$20.7011/17/04$21.137.0+2.1%
Amedisys Inc.AMED10/21/04$31.2811/17/04$31.633.9+1.1%
Ventiv Health Inc.VTIV11/08/04$19.2511/17/04$17.581.3-8.7%
Dawson Geophysical Co.DWSN11/15/04$23.6411/17/04$21.130.3-10.6%
Dawson Geophysical Co.DWSN11/16/04$23.3411/17/04$21.130.1-9.4%
InfoSpace Inc.INSP10/26/04$53.9911/16/04$49.593.0-8.1%
MarketWatch Inc.MKTW10/28/04$14.0111/16/04$17.892.7+27.7%
MarketWatch Inc.MKTW10/29/04$13.3311/16/04$17.892.6+34.2%
Ctrip.com InternationalCTRP11/01/04$41.2111/11/04$45.291.4+9.9%
Carpenter Technology Corp.CRS10/26/04$48.5111/05/04$50.781.4+4.7%
Ditech Communications Corp.DITC10/21/04$26.6611/04/04$15.072.0-43.5%
Ditech Communications Corp.DITC11/03/04$22.7511/04/04$15.070.1-33.7%
VSE Corp.VSEC10/18/04$28.5111/02/04$25.582.1-10.3%
Mannatech Inc.MTEX10/21/04$16.4011/02/04$16.631.7+1.4%
Hurco Companies Inc.HURC10/12/04$15.3011/01/04$13.052.9-14.7%
Petroleum Development Corp.PETD09/07/04$32.5110/27/04$36.797.1+13.2%
Petroleum Development Corp.PETD10/20/04$39.4310/27/04$36.791.0-6.7%
Comtech Telecom Corp.CMTL09/22/04$24.0110/22/04$26.814.3+11.6%
Portfolio Recovery AssocPRAA10/05/04$32.5610/22/04$31.972.4-1.8%
TASER International, Inc.TASR10/19/04$40.3610/20/04$40.270.1-0.2%
Universal American Fin'lUHCO09/21/04$12.5210/15/04$11.813.4-5.7%
J2 Global CommunicationsJCOM09/21/04$30.9910/15/04$30.063.4-3.0%
Steel Technologies Inc.STTX09/28/04$24.7910/13/04$25.722.1+3.7%
Sandisk Corp.SNDK09/10/04$25.2010/11/04$28.864.4+14.5%
Sierra Wireless Inc.SWIR09/16/04$18.2310/07/04$17.833.0-2.2%
TRM Corp.TRMM09/21/04$18.1510/07/04$17.662.3-2.7%
ATI Technologies Inc.ATYT10/07/04$18.0710/07/04$17.000.0-5.9%
Niku Corp.NIKU08/19/04$13.0910/05/04$14.636.7+11.8%
Volt Info Sciences Inc.VOL09/15/04$26.5910/01/04$29.032.3+9.2%
ADE Corp.ADEX08/25/04$17.8609/27/04$17.094.7-4.3%
AudioCodes Ltd.AUDC09/13/04$12.7409/27/04$12.012.0-5.8%
Cree Inc.CREE09/20/04$29.9509/27/04$28.131.0-6.1%
Average3.8+2.9%

* Net buy (sell) prices shown are the total net purchase cost (proceeds) after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. The Gain(Loss) is therefore net after commissions.

  Subscription Information

Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc.

My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter.

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  Privacy Policy

Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in strict confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others.

  Disclaimers

All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.

 

Ken Deen
Deen Capital Management, Inc.
PO Box 30925
Santa Barbara, CA 93130
(805) 682-1870
deenslist@deencapital.com

Copyright © 2004 Deen Capital Management, Inc.