Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter. Market Stance: BULLISH (since December 15, 2004)Contents
Year-To-Date Performance
* An average of managed accounts, net after commissions and fees. Individual account results may vary. See also www.deencapital.com/perform.htm. For information on managed accounts, see www.deencapital.com/mgdaccts.htm.
* The "Net buy price" is the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. Today, Thursday, December 23, 2004, I bought GRMN, first for client accounts, then for my personal accounts. Garmin Ltd. is engaged in the design, development, manufacturing and marketing of navigation, communications and information devices, most of which are enabled by Global Positioning System (GPS) technology. Here's why I bought this stock: + Breakout: Yesterday, Dec 22, the stock broke out of an 11-month trading range into new all-time high territory. Volume was moderately heavy. + Excellent and accelerating recent sales growth: Here are the quarterly year-to-year sales growth rates from the last four quarters, in chronological order: +27%, +28%, +32%, and, most recently, for the quarter ended Sep 30, +43% to $193.6 million. + Mostly excellent recent earnings-per-share growth: Here are the quarterly EPS figures for the last eight quarters: Dec 03 vs Dec 02: 50c vs 41c Mar 04 vs Mar 03: 32c vs 38c Jun 04 vs Jun 03: 52c vs 43c Sep 04 vs Sep 03: 62c vs 32c + Rising estimates: According to recent data from First Call, the consensus earnings estimate for 2004 is $1.99, up from $1.83 90 days ago (and up from 2003 actual earnings of $1.64); and the consensus estimate for 2005 is $2.27, up from $2.12 90 days ago. + History of earnings surprises: This company has reported earnings at least 2c ahead of estimates in three of the past four quarters, and 14c ahead in the most recently reported quarter ended Sep 30. + The company's industry group ("Telecommunications - Wireless Equipment") is ranked #25 for relative strength out of 197 industry groups tracked by Investor's Business Daily. This ranking changes daily, and it has been generally rising over recent weeks and months. I chose to buy the stock in spite of the following negative factor: - Valuation: At 26 times next year's estimated earnings and a projected 5-year annualized earnings growth rate of 15%, the stock might be considered just a bit pricey. -KD, December 23, 2004
* Net buy prices shown are the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. ** Current prices are at least 20 minutes old. Welcome to The Deen's ListTM, an e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc. My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter. Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com. To subscribe or unsubscribe, include the word "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" in the Subject line. This newsletter is free to managed account clients. For a limited time, it is also free to all interested parties. Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in strict confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others. All stocks discussed in The Deen's ListTM involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's ListTM or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness.
Ken Deen Copyright © 2004 Deen Capital Management, Inc. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||