The Deen's List(TM) A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com) Vol.1 #95 Friday, December 26, 2003 11:26am ET Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter. Market stance: BULLISH (since Dec 12 2003) ****************** Bought Sharper Image Corp. (SHRP) ******************* Net buy price in managed accounts(*)... $32.30 Yesterday's close (Dec 24)............. $29.97 Net change (based on net buy price).... +$2.33 Today's volume as of 12:59pm ET........ 48,735 ($1.6 million) Average daily volume................... 308,300 ($10.0 million) This year's earnings-per-share......... $1.56 (est) Next year's earnings-per-share......... $1.80 (est) P/E using next year's earnings......... 18.0 (est) Earnings growth rate, next 5 years..... 20.0% per year (est) (*) The "Net buy price" is the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. On Fri Dec 26, I bought SHRP. Sharper Image (www.sharperimage.com) is a specialty retailer and product developer. They operate 127 stores in 32 states and the District of Columbia. They also sell their catalog of wares over the Internet. Here's why I bought this stock: + News: On Fri Dec 26 before the open, the company raised its earnings guidance for the fourth quarter and full year due to robust holiday sales. From Dec 1 to Dec 24, same-store sales increased 21%, and total sales 30%, versus the same period last year. About a month ago, the company raised this year's (FY 04 [Jan]) guidance from $1.45-to-$1.50 to $1.55-to-$1.59. Now, they are raising guidance again, this time to the range $1.57-to-$1.61. (The First Call consensus is $1.56.) + Breakout: Back on Nov 12, the stock broke out of a 4-month trading range. That breakout failed, as the stock price retreated back into the old trading range. On Fri Dec 26, the stock broke out again. As I write this on the morning of Dec 26, about a half hour after the opening bell, the stock is up sharply on heavy volume. The price has already surpassed the earlier peak of Nov 12, and volume has already reached the daily average -- in just the first half-hour of trade on a semi-holiday. + Excellent recent sales growth: Here are the quarterly year-to-year sales growth rates from the last four quarters, in chronological order: +31%, +27%, +25%, and, most recently, for the quarter ended Oct 31, +24% to $131.1 million. + Excellent recent earnings-per-share growth: Here are the quarterly EPS figures for the last eight quarters: Jan 03 vs Jan 02: $1.26 vs 98c Apr 03 vs Apr 02: 5c vs 1c Jul 03 vs Jul 02: 5c vs (5c) Oct 03 vs Oct 02: 6c vs (4c) + Rising estimates: According to recent data from First Call, the consensus earnings estimate for FY 04 is $1.56, up from $1.45 90 days ago; and the consensus estimate for FY 05 is $1.80, up from $1.66 90 days ago. (See also "News" above.) + Valuation: At 18 times next year's estimated earnings and a projected 5-year annualized earnings growth rate of 20%, the stock is attractively priced. + History of earnings surprises: This company has reported earnings at least a penny ahead of estimates in three of the past four quarters. *********************** Subscription Information *********************** Welcome to The Deen's List(TM), a new e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc. My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter. Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com. To subscribe or unsubscribe, include the word "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" in the Subject line. This newsletter is free to managed account clients. For a limited time, it is also free to all interested parties. **************************** Privacy Policy **************************** Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others. ***************************** Disclaimers ****************************** * All stocks discussed in The Deen's List(TM) involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's List(TM) or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable. * Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. * The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness. ************************************************************************ Ken Deen Deen Capital Management, Inc. PO Box 30925 Santa Barbara, CA 93130 (805) 682-1870 deenslist@deencapital.com Copyright (C) 2003 Deen Capital Management, Inc.