The Deen's List(TM) A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com) Vol.1 #56 Thursday November 13 2003 2:21pm ET Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter. Market stance: BULLISH (since Oct 3 2003) ***************************** Bought MATK ****************************** Martek Biosciences Corp (MATK) Net buy price in managed accounts(*)... $54.87 Yesterday's close (Nov 12)............. $49.57 Net change (based on net buy price).... +$5.30 Today's volume as of 1:41pm ET ........ 1.0 million ($55.8 million) Average daily volume................... 516,800 ($28.4 million) This year's earnings-per-share......... $0.58 (est) Next year's earnings-per-share......... $1.34 (est) P/E using next year's earnings......... 40.9 (est) Earnings growth rate, next 5 years..... 35.0% per year (est) (*) The "Net buy price" is the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. Today, Thu Nov 13, I bought MATK. Martek Biosciences (www.martekbio.com) develops and markets products derived from microalgae. These products include nutritional oils used in infant formula, nutritional supplements and food fortification ingredients. The company's nutritional oils are comprised of fatty acid components, primarily DHA and ARA. Here's why I bought this stock: + News: On Wed Nov 12 after the close, the company issued a press release stating that data from two new studies demonstrate that DHA omega-3 fatty acid results in significant cardioprotective beneift for patients at risk of developing cardiovascular disease. + News: In a press release dated Nov 11, the company states that a Tufts University study suggests that increased DHA levels in the blood and eating three fish meals each week are associated with a 48% reduction in the risk of Alzheimer's disease in the elderly. + A "true surprise"(*): Prior to the news, the stock had been trading near the low end of a three-and-a-half month trading range. Then, on Thu Nov 13, the stock was up sharply on higher-than-average volume. (*) "True surprise" is my term to describe a company news item that ignites heavy buying and that was not preceded by a short-term runup in the stock price (i.e. not preceded by rumor). + Explosive recent sales growth: Here are the quarterly year-to-year sales growth rates from the last four quarters, in chronological order: +163%, +244%, +132%, and, most recently, for the quarter ended Jul 31, +115% to $29.1 million. + Excellent recent earnings-per-share growth: Here are the quarterly EPS figures for the last eight quarters: Oct 02 vs Oct 01: 2c vs (18c) Jan 03 vs Jan 02: 7c vs (15c) Apr 03 vs Apr 02: 12c vs (10c) Jul 03 vs Jul 02: 16c vs (11c) + Rising estimates: According to recent data from First Call, the consensus earnings estimate for FY 04 (Oct) is 58c, up from 55c 90 days ago; and the consensus estimate for FY 05 is $1.34, up from $1.30 90 days ago. + Valuation: At 41 times next year's estimated earnings and a projected 5-year annualized earnings growth rate of 35%, the stock is reasonably priced. + History of earnings surprises: This company has reported earnings at least a penny ahead of estimates in each of the past three quarters. The above items were so compelling that I chose to buy the stock in spite of the following negative factor: - The company's industry group ("Medical - Biomed/Biotech") has fallen in relative strength over the past six months, according to Investor's Business Daily. *********************** Subscription Information *********************** Welcome to The Deen's List(TM), a new e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc. My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter. Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com. To subscribe or unsubscribe, include the word "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" in the Subject line. This newsletter is free to managed account clients. For a limited time, it is also free to all interested parties. **************************** Privacy Policy **************************** Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others. ************************ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS ************************* * All stocks discussed in The Deen's List(TM) involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's List(TM) or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable. * Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. * The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness. ************************************************************************ Ken Deen Deen Capital Management, Inc. PO Box 30925 Santa Barbara, CA 93130 (805) 682-1870 deenslist@deencapital.com Copyright (C) 2003 Deen Capital Management, Inc.