The Deen's List(TM) A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com) Vol.1 #54 Wednesday November 12 2003 2:16pm ET Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter. Market stance: BULLISH (since Oct 3 2003) ******************************* Contents ******************************* Bought CYD Sold MNC ****************************** Bought CYD ****************************** China Yuchai Int Ltd (CYD) Net buy price in managed accounts(*)... $28.79 Yesterday's close (Nov 11)............. $26.70 Net change (based on net buy price).... +$2.09 Today's volume as of 1:48pm ET ........ 7.4 million ($212.7 million) Average daily volume................... 2.0 million ($57.8 million) This year's earnings-per-share......... $1.60 (est) Next year's earnings-per-share......... $2.10 (est) P/E using next year's earnings......... 13.8 (est) Earnings growth rate, next 5 years..... 30.0% per year (est) (*) The "Net buy price" is the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. On Wed Nov 12, I bought CYD. China Yuchai (www.hlcorp.com.sg/cyi/) manufactures medium-duty diesel engines, diesel power generators, and diesel engine parts in China. Here's why I bought this stock: + Technical: This has been one of the strongest stocks in the entire stock market. On Monday and Tuesday of this week, the stock experienced a significant -27% correction in price from $36.45 to $26.70. And yet the trend is still strongly up -- the stock started the year at $4.57. I bought in on Wednesday, as the stock was experiencing a very heavy volume and bullish intraday reversal. It was down briefly to $25.10 before turning around and heading north. + Valuation: At 14 times next year's estimated earnings and a projected 5-year annualized earnings growth rate of 30%, the stock is very attractively priced. + Fundamentals: I do not have a complete history of sales and earnings on this stock. But what I do have looks very good: + Sales were up 97% to $106.1 million last year. + Earnings for 2003 are expected to come in at $1.60 per share, versus $1.40 last year. Earnings for 2004 are expected to come in at $2.10. + We are now participating in the unprecedented economic boom in main- land China. This phenomenal growth story is far from over. ******************************* Sold MNC ******************************* Monaco Coach Corp (MNC) Net sell price in managed accounts(*).... $22.48 Date(s) bought........................... Oct 21 2003 Net buy price in managed accounts(*)..... $22.69 Holding period........................... 3.1 weeks Gain/loss in managed accounts............ -0.9% (after commissions) (*) The net buy (sell) price is the total net cost (proceeds) after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. On Wed Nov 12, I sold Monaco Coach. I still like this stock, but I like CYD even better. I sold in order to buy CYD. Also, our gain in this stock has evaporated. It is not participating in today's (Wed Nov 12) rally. *********************** Subscription Information *********************** Welcome to The Deen's List(TM), a new e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc. My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter. Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com. To subscribe or unsubscribe, include the word "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" in the Subject line. This newsletter is free to managed account clients. For a limited time, it is also free to all interested parties. **************************** Privacy Policy **************************** Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others. ************************ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS ************************* * All stocks discussed in The Deen's List(TM) involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's List(TM) or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable. * Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. * The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness. ************************************************************************ Ken Deen Deen Capital Management, Inc. PO Box 30925 Santa Barbara, CA 93130 (805) 682-1870 deenslist@deencapital.com Copyright (C) 2003 Deen Capital Management, Inc.