The Deen's List(TM) A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com) Vol.1 #53 Wednesday November 12 2003 11:38am ET Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter. Market stance: BULLISH (since Oct 3 2003) ***************************** Bought IPMT ****************************** Ipayment (IPMT) Net buy price in managed accounts(*)... $27.85 Yesterday's close (Nov 11)............. $23.00 Net change (based on net buy price).... +$4.85 Today's volume as of 10:20am ET........ 409,231 ($11.4 million) Average daily volume................... 48,300 ($1.3 million) This year's earnings-per-share......... $0.84 (est) Next year's earnings-per-share......... $1.05 (est) P/E using next year's earnings......... 26.6 (est) Earnings growth rate, next 5 years..... 20.0% per year (est) (*) The "Net buy price" is the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. On Wed Nov 12, I bought IPMT. IPayment Inc. (www.ipaymentinc.com) provides credit and debit card-based payment processing services to small merchants. Here's why I bought this stock: + News: On Tue Nov 11 after the close, the company announced results for the quarter ended Sep 30. Earnings came in at 29c per diluted share (vs last year 12c and First Call 24c). Revenue was up 105% to $59.8 million (estimate $54.2 million). + A "true surprise"(*): Prior to the news, the stock had been trading near the low end of a 4-month trading range. Then, Wednesday morning, the stock soared on extremely heavy volume. About a half-hour after the opening bell, the stock was at $26.95, up $3.95 on 232,000 shares. Average volume for an entire day is only 48,000. (*) "True surprise" is my term to describe a company news item that ignites heavy buying and that was not preceded by a short-term runup in the stock price (i.e. not preceded by rumor). + Breakout: The price movement on Wed Nov 12 represents a breakout from a four-month trading range. + Explosive recent sales growth: Here are the quarterly year-to-year sales growth rates from the last four quarters, in chronological order: +218%, +183%, +152%, and, just announced, +105%. + Excellent recent earnings-per-share growth: Here are the quarterly EPS figures for the last eight quarters: Dec 02 vs Dec 01: (13c) vs (45c) Mar 03 vs Mar 02: 2c vs (24c) Jun 03 vs Jun 02: (6c) vs (21c) Sep 03 vs Sep 02: 29c vs 12c + Rising estimates: According to recent data from First Call, the consensus earnings estimate for 2003 is 84c, unchanged from 90 days ago; and the consensus estimate for 2004 is $1.05, up from $1.01 90 days ago. + Valuation: At 27 times next year's estimated earnings and a projected 5-year annualized earnings growth rate of 20%, the stock is moderately priced. + The company's industry group ("Financial Services - Misc") has risen in relative strength over the past three months, according to Investor's Business Daily. *********************** Subscription Information *********************** Welcome to The Deen's List(TM), a new e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc. My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter. Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com. To subscribe or unsubscribe, include the word "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" in the Subject line. This newsletter is free to managed account clients. For a limited time, it is also free to all interested parties. **************************** Privacy Policy **************************** Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others. ************************ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS ************************* * All stocks discussed in The Deen's List(TM) involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's List(TM) or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable. * Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. * The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness. ************************************************************************ Ken Deen Deen Capital Management, Inc. PO Box 30925 Santa Barbara, CA 93130 (805) 682-1870 deenslist@deencapital.com Copyright (C) 2003 Deen Capital Management, Inc.