The Deen's List(TM) A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com) Vol.1 #48 Thursday November 6 2003 2:49pm ET Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter. Market stance: BULLISH (since Oct 3 2003) ******************************* Contents ******************************* Bought RSTI Sold RE ***************************** Bought RSTI ****************************** Rofin-Sinar Tech Inc (RSTI) Net buy price in managed accounts(*)... $30.23 Yesterday's close (Nov 05)............. $26.61 Net change (based on net buy price).... +$3.62 Today's volume as of 2:11pm ET ........ 1.2 million ($35.7 million) Average daily volume................... 205,000 ($6.2 million) This year's earnings-per-share......... $1.14 (est) Next year's earnings-per-share......... $1.25 (est) P/E using next year's earnings......... 24.2 (est) Earnings growth rate, next 5 years..... 17.0% per year (est) (*) The "Net buy price" is the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. Rofin-Sinar Technologies (www.rofin-sinar.com) makes laser-based products used to cut, weld, and mark industrial materials. Here's why I bought this stock: + News: On Thu Nov 6 before the open, the company announced results for the quarter ended Sep 30. Earnings came in at 39c per diluted share (vs last year 20c and First Call 28c). Revenue was up 15% to $74.1 million (Reuters Research consensus $67.2 million). + Breakout: Also on Thu Nov 6, the stock soared on extremely heavy volume. This was a breakout from a six-week trading range. + Excellent recent sales growth: Here are the quarterly year-to-year sales growth rates from the last four quarters, in chronological order: +19%, +14%, +16%, and, most recently, as cited above, +15%. + Excellent recent earnings-per-share growth: Here are the quarterly EPS figures for the last eight quarters: Dec 02 vs Dec 01: 30c vs 2c Mar 03 vs Mar 02: 29c vs 10c Jun 03 vs Jun 02: 30c vs 11c Sep 03 vs Sep 02: 39c vs 20c + Rising estimates: According to recent data from First Call, the consensus earnings estimate for FY 04 (Sep) is $1.25, up from $1.16 90 days ago. Estimates for next year are not available from my usual source. + Valuation: At 24 times this year's estimated earnings and a projected 5-year annualized earnings growth rate of 17%, the stock is moderately priced. + History of earnings surprises: This company has reported earnings at least 4c ahead of estimates in each of the past five quarters (including the just-reported quarter cited above). + The company's industry group ("Elec - Misc Products") has risen in relative strength over the past six months, according to Investor's Business Daily. It now ranks #11 out of 197 groups. ******************************* Sold RE ******************************** Everest Re Group Ltd. (RE) Net sell price in managed accounts(*).... $82.52 Date(s) bought........................... Oct 21 2003 Net buy price in managed accounts(*)..... $83.94 Holding period........................... 2.3 weeks Gain/loss in managed accounts............ -1.7% (after commissions) (*) The net buy (sell) price is the total net cost (proceeds) after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. I still like this stock, but I like RSTI even better. I sold RE in order to raise cash to buy RSTI. *********************** Subscription Information *********************** Welcome to The Deen's List(TM), a new e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc. My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter. Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com. To subscribe or unsubscribe, include the word "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" in the Subject line. This newsletter is free to managed account clients. For a limited time, it is also free to all interested parties. **************************** Privacy Policy **************************** Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others. ************************ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS ************************* * All stocks discussed in The Deen's List(TM) involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's List(TM) or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable. * Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. * The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness. ************************************************************************ Ken Deen Deen Capital Management, Inc. PO Box 30925 Santa Barbara, CA 93130 (805) 682-1870 deenslist@deencapital.com Copyright (C) 2003 Deen Capital Management, Inc.