The Deen's List(TM) A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. (www.deencapital.com) Vol.1 #47 Tuesday November 4 2003 3:01pm ET Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter. Market stance: BULLISH (since Oct 3 2003) ***************************** Bought DIOD ****************************** Diodes Inc (DIOD) Net buy price in managed accounts(*)... $25.46 Yesterday's close (Nov 03)............. $24.02 Net change (based on net buy price).... +$1.44 Today's volume as of 2:23pm ET ........ 120,681 ($3.1 million) Average daily volume................... 34,900 ($0.9 million) This year's earnings-per-share......... $0.99 (est) Next year's earnings-per-share......... $1.22 (est) P/E using next year's earnings......... 20.9 (est) Earnings growth rate, next 5 years..... 20.0% per year (est) (*) The "Net buy price" is the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. Diodes Inc. (www.diodes.com) makes discrete semiconductor products, primarily to the communications, computing, industrial, consumer electronics and automotive markets. Here's why I bought this stock: + News: On Tue Oct 28 before the open, the company announced results for the quarter ended Sep 30. Earnings came in at 26c per share (vs last year 20c and First Call 24c). Revenue was up 15% to $34.9 million. + A "true surprise"(*): Prior to the news, the stock was trading in the lower half of a 3-month trading range. (*) "True surprise" is my term to describe a company news item that ignites heavy buying and that was not preceded by a short-term runup in the stock price (i.e. not preceded by rumor). + Breakout: As I write this on Tue Nov 4, the stock is breaking out of its 3-month trading range on much heavier-than-normal volume. + Excellent recent sales growth: Here are the quarterly year-to-year sales growth rates from the last four quarters, in chronological order: +13%, +9%, +11%, and, most recently, as cited above, +15%. + Excellent recent earnings-per-share growth: Here are the quarterly EPS figures for the last eight quarters: Dec 02 vs Dec 01: 25c vs 1c Mar 03 vs Mar 02: 21c vs 2c Jun 03 vs Jun 02: 23c vs 18c Sep 03 vs Sep 02: 26c vs 20c + Strong earnings growth projections: According to recent data from First Call, the consensus earnings estimate for 2003 is 99c, up from 87c 90 days ago; and the consensus estimate for 2004 is $1.22, down from $1.27 90 days ago. + Valuation: At 21 times next year's estimated earnings and a projected 5-year annualized earnings growth rate of 20%, the stock is attractively priced. + The company's industry group ("Electronics - Semiconductor Mfg") is ranked #5 out of 197 industry groups tracked by Investor's Business Daily for relative strength over the past six months. *********************** Subscription Information *********************** Welcome to The Deen's List(TM), a new e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc. My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter. Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com. To subscribe or unsubscribe, include the word "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" in the Subject line. This newsletter is free to managed account clients. For a limited time, it is also free to all interested parties. **************************** Privacy Policy **************************** Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others. ************************ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS ************************* * All stocks discussed in The Deen's List(TM) involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's List(TM) or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable. * Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. * The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness. ************************************************************************ Ken Deen Deen Capital Management, Inc. PO Box 30925 Santa Barbara, CA 93130 (805) 682-1870 deenslist@deencapital.com Copyright (C) 2003 Deen Capital Management, Inc.