The Deen's List(TM) A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. Vol.1 #28 Monday October 20 2003 1:42pm ET Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter. Market stance: BULLISH (since Oct 3 2003) ***************************** Bought ADEX ****************************** ADE Corp. (ADEX) Net buy price in managed accounts(*)... $20.79 Yesterday's close (Oct 17)............. $18.76 Net change (based on net buy price).... +$2.03 Today's volume as of 1:08pm ET ........ 247,640 ($5.1 million) Average daily volume................... 110,000 ($2.3 million) This year's earnings-per-share......... $0.44 (est) Next year's earnings-per-share......... $1.10 (est) P/E using next year's earnings......... 19.0 (est) Earnings growth rate, next 5 years..... 20.0% per year (est) (*) The "Net buy price" is the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. On Mon Oct 20, I bought ADEX. ADE Corp. (www.ade.com) makes equipment used to map and measure the surface, thickness and properties of silicon wafers. This equipment is used by chip makers for quality control and to improve yields and chip speed. There is an article on this company on page A7 of the Mon Oct 20 Investor's Business Daily. This article may be found online at http://biz.yahoo.com/ibd/031020/newamer_1.html Here's why I bought this stock: + Breakout: The stock broke out of a 5-week trading range on extremely heavy volume back on Oct 8. We missed this breakout; instead, we are buying one day after the stock price completed a 2-day 13% correction. + Accelerating recent sales growth: Here are the quarterly year-to-year sales growth rates from the last four quarters, in chronological order: -18%, +3%, +21%, and, most recently, for the quarter ended Jul 31, +29% to $19.1 million. + Emergence into profitability: Here are the quarterly EPS figures for the last eight quarters: Jan 02 vs Jan 01: (13c) vs (29c) Apr 04 vs Apr 03: 4c vs (24c) Jul 03 vs Jul 02: 2c vs (30c) Oct 03 vs Oct 02: 13c vs (36c) + Rising estimates: According to recent data from First Call, the consensus earnings estimate for FY 03 (Apr) is 44c, up from 43c 90 days ago; and the consensus estimate for FY 04 is $1.10, up from 99c 90 days ago. + Valuation: At 19 times next year's estimated earnings and a projected 5-year annualized earnings growth rate of 20%, the stock is attractively priced. This low valuation was a major factor in my decision to buy. + History of earnings surprises: This company has reported earnings at least 2c ahead of estimates in each of the past four quarters. + The company's industry group ("Electronics - Scientific / Measuring") has risen in relative strength over the past six months, according to Investor's Business Daily. *********************** Subscription Information *********************** Welcome to The Deen's List(TM), a new e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc. My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter. Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com. To subscribe or unsubscribe, include the word "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" in the Subject line. This newsletter is free to managed account clients. For a limited time, it is also free to all interested parties. **************************** Privacy Policy **************************** Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others. ************************ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS ************************* * All stocks discussed in The Deen's List(TM) involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's List(TM) or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable. * Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. * The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness. ************************************************************************ Ken Deen Deen Capital Management, Inc. PO Box 30925 Santa Barbara, CA 93130 (805) 682-1870 deenslist@deencapital.com Copyright (C) 2003 Deen Capital Management, Inc.