The Deen's List(TM) A service of Deen Capital Management, Inc. Vol.1 #25 Thursday October 16 2003 1:31pm ET Please read carefully our disclaimers at the end of this newsletter. Market stance: BULLISH (since Oct 3 2003) ***************************** Bought QLGC ****************************** Qlogic Corp (QLGC) Net buy price in managed accounts(*)... $54.23 Yesterday's close (Oct 15)............. $51.48 Net change (based on avg buy price).... +$2.75 Today's volume as of 12:59pm ET........ 7.2 million ($389.9 million) Average daily volume................... 4.6 million ($247.8 million) This year's earnings-per-share......... $1.43 (est) Next year's earnings-per-share......... $1.60 (est) P/E using next year's earnings......... 33.9 (est) Earnings growth rate, next 5 years..... 21.0% per year (est) (*) The "Net buy price" is the total net purchase cost after commissions for all managed accounts divided by the total number of shares. QLogic (www.qlogic.com) designs and supplies storage area networking semiconductor chips, host board adapters and switches. Here's why I bought this stock: + News: Today, Thu Oct 16, before the open, the company announced results for the quarter ended Jun 30. Earnings came in at 37c per diluted share, excluding a 2c charge, vs last year 28c and First Call 35c. Revenue was up 23.5% to $132.3 million (First Call estimate $131 million). + Breakout: As I write this, midday on Thu Oct 16, the stock is breaking out of a 17-month trading range. + Excellent recent sales growth: Here are the quarterly year-to-year sales growth rates from the last four quarters, in chronological order: +38%, +33%, +28%, and, just announced, +24%. + Excellent recent earnings-per-share growth: Here are the quarterly EPS figures for the last eight quarters: Dec 02 vs Dec 01: 30c vs 20c Mar 03 vs Mar 02: 33c vs 22c Jun 03 vs Jun 02: 35c vs 27c Sep 03 vs Sep 02: 37c vs 28c + Rising estimates: According to recent data from First Call, the consensus earnings estimate for 2003 is $1.43, up from $1.37 90 days ago; and the consensus estimate for 2004 is $1.60, up from $1.55 90 days ago. + History of earnings surprises: This company has reported earnings at least 2c ahead of estimates in each of the past five quarters (including the just-reported quarter cited above). + The company's industry group ("Computer Networking") has risen in relative strength over the past six months, according to Investor's Business Daily. The above items were so compelling that I chose to buy the stock in spite of the following negative factor: - Valuation: At 34 times next year's estimated earnings and a projected 5-year annualized earnings growth rate of 21%, the stock is a bit pricey. On the other hand, related companies NTAP, BRCD and MCDTA are trading at even loftier valuations. *********************** Subscription Information *********************** Welcome to The Deen's List(TM), a new e-mail stock newsletter from Deen Capital Management, Inc. My intention is to inform you as quickly as is practical regarding my stock market moves. When I buy or sell a stock, first I take care of client accounts, then I buy/sell for my personal account(s), and then, third, I send out this newsletter. Your feedback is welcome. Send e-mail to deenslist@deencapital.com. To subscribe or unsubscribe, include the word "subscribe" or "unsubscribe" in the Subject line. This newsletter is free to managed account clients. For a limited time, it is also free to all interested parties. **************************** Privacy Policy **************************** Your personal information, including your e-mail address, will be held in confidence by Deen Capital Management, Inc. We will not share it with or sell it to others. ************************ IMPORTANT DISCLAIMERS ************************* * All stocks discussed in The Deen's List(TM) involve a high degree of risk. It should not be assumed that any stock discussed in The Deen's List(TM) or purchased by Deen Capital Management, Inc. will be profitable. * Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. * The information contained herein has been compiled from sources deemed to be reliable; however, we are not responsible for its accuracy or completeness. ************************************************************************ Ken Deen Deen Capital Management, Inc. PO Box 30925 Santa Barbara, CA 93130 (805) 682-1870 deenslist@deencapital.com Copyright (C) 2003 Deen Capital Management, Inc.